Search Results for “probability” – Page 111

In Defense Of Peter Kreeft: A Response To Brafford

Peter Kreeft, a philosopher whose surname does not sound like it is spelled, placed in Touchstone the article "Clashing Symbols: The Loss of Aristotelian Logic & the Social, Moral, &…

Philosophy Statistics

The Data Is The Data, Not The Model: With Climatology Time Series Example

How not to plot The following plot was sent to me yesterday for comment. I cannot disclose the sender, nor the nature of the data, but neither of these are…

Statistics

On-Line Statistics Course: Ideas And Your Opinions

We talked about this a couple of months ago, but now the time is nigh to build and create an on-line statistics course, or courses. There are several problems: content,…

Statistics

The Final Polls & Predictions: What’s The Difference Between Polls And Models?

There are two ways to forecast the election: polls and models. Polls are easy: go out and ask who will vote for whom, tally the results, and print 'em. As…

Philosophy Statistics

How Presidential Polls Work: D+7 or R-3 And All That

Unleash the polls! No, I don't mean the men who bravely served under Grand Duke of Lithuania Władysław II Jagiełło (free bad joke of the day!), but those election omens…

Statistics

Nate Silver’s Obama Prediction: What Does It Mean?

It was Sophocles who first noted the truism, "No one loves the messenger who brings bad news." But the converse is also true. As it is written (in Romans 10:15),…

Statistics

Risk Analysis And Over Certainty: Classical vs. Bayesian vs. Predictive Statistics

There are two main uses of statistics by civilians, defined as folks who use statistics, who may have even had a class or two in the subject, but who are…

Statistics

Lewandowsky’s Confusion About Statistics

Still at conference, so just a short plug for learning about which you speak. Stephan Lewandowsky, who believes JFK shot at the moon landings and that's why the globe has…

Carlos Julio Casanova Guerra on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026
William: I tried to find a way contact you other than the comments section, but didn't find one: sorry if…
Cary D Cotterman on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026
My wife is the only sane, rational, conservative woman I know. Her sisters and nieces and their female friends are…
McChuck on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026
Give the vote only to men over 21. One vote per man (must be a citizen, of course). One if…
Brian (bulaoren) on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026
Women want government to be "by consensus", like Rome's Second Triumvirate.
shawn marshall on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026
If only a married man and woman had one vote to cast as a couple the decline of the USA…