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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Use And Abuses Of Decision Analysis: Global Warming Example

Suppose we have a simple decision to make1: implement a government-takeover of all energy companies, so as to regulate with thoroughness their carbon budgets, or leave these entities as they…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Statistician’s Lament

Regular readers (those wanting to catch up, click here) will know that the world is far too sure of itself, especially in areas which touch on human behavior, and most…
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Posted inStatistics

Anthropogenic Forcing Signals Not Significant? New Polynomial Cointegration Test Paper

I have been asked by a number of people to comment on a new paper that purportedly shows that "statistical tests for global warming fails to find statistically significantly anthropogenic…
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Posted inStatistics

The Curious Case Of Professor Richard Parncutt; Or, Death To Deniers And The Pope!

Austrian professor Richard Parncutt1 has called for folks like me to hunted down and, for his pleasure, shoved into gas chambers. I jest not. He really did say that "influential"…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

In Defense Of Peter Kreeft: A Response To Brafford

Peter Kreeft, a philosopher whose surname does not sound like it is spelled, placed in Touchstone the article "Clashing Symbols: The Loss of Aristotelian Logic & the Social, Moral, &…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Data Is The Data, Not The Model: With Climatology Time Series Example

How not to plot The following plot was sent to me yesterday for comment. I cannot disclose the sender, nor the nature of the data, but neither of these are…
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Posted inStatistics

On-Line Statistics Course: Ideas And Your Opinions

We talked about this a couple of months ago, but now the time is nigh to build and create an on-line statistics course, or courses. There are several problems: content,…
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Posted inStatistics

The Final Polls & Predictions: What’s The Difference Between Polls And Models?

There are two ways to forecast the election: polls and models. Polls are easy: go out and ask who will vote for whom, tally the results, and print 'em. As…
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  1. gareth on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 7, 2026

    Well written Briggs. When people, informed by BBC or Sky, used to say "that Idiot Trump" or whatever, I used…

  2. Uncle Mike on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    On Easter Sunday no less. I recall when Joe Dementia declared Easter to be National Tranny Day. I thought he…

  3. Johnno on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    Hey Cary D... what about those countries run by religious lunatics who have made it very clear they want the…

  4. JDinPA on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    Cary D Cotterman: You’ve made a case, at most, for one or more of the nations of Western Europe going…

  5. shawn marshall on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    unfortunately I think that is the reality....

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