Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
A Statistician’s Lament
Regular readers (those wanting to catch up, click here) will know that the world is far too sure of itself, especially in areas which touch on human behavior, and most…
Posted inStatistics
Anthropogenic Forcing Signals Not Significant? New Polynomial Cointegration Test Paper
I have been asked by a number of people to comment on a new paper that purportedly shows that "statistical tests for global warming fails to find statistically significantly anthropogenic…
Posted inStatistics
The Curious Case Of Professor Richard Parncutt; Or, Death To Deniers And The Pope!
Austrian professor Richard Parncutt1 has called for folks like me to hunted down and, for his pleasure, shoved into gas chambers. I jest not. He really did say that "influential"…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
In Defense Of Peter Kreeft: A Response To Brafford
Peter Kreeft, a philosopher whose surname does not sound like it is spelled, placed in Touchstone the article "Clashing Symbols: The Loss of Aristotelian Logic & the Social, Moral, &…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Data Is The Data, Not The Model: With Climatology Time Series Example
How not to plot The following plot was sent to me yesterday for comment. I cannot disclose the sender, nor the nature of the data, but neither of these are…
Posted inStatistics
On-Line Statistics Course: Ideas And Your Opinions
We talked about this a couple of months ago, but now the time is nigh to build and create an on-line statistics course, or courses. There are several problems: content,…
Posted inStatistics
The Final Polls & Predictions: What’s The Difference Between Polls And Models?
There are two ways to forecast the election: polls and models. Polls are easy: go out and ask who will vote for whom, tally the results, and print 'em. As…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
How Presidential Polls Work: D+7 or R-3 And All That
Unleash the polls! No, I don't mean the men who bravely served under Grand Duke of Lithuania Władysław II Jagiełło (free bad joke of the day!), but those election omens…