Posted inStatistics
Nate Silver’s Obama Prediction: What Does It Mean?
It was Sophocles who first noted the truism, "No one loves the messenger who brings bad news." But the converse is also true. As it is written (in Romans 10:15),…
Posted inStatistics
Risk Analysis And Over Certainty: Classical vs. Bayesian vs. Predictive Statistics
There are two main uses of statistics by civilians, defined as folks who use statistics, who may have even had a class or two in the subject, but who are…
Posted inStatistics
Lewandowsky’s Confusion About Statistics
Still at conference, so just a short plug for learning about which you speak. Stephan Lewandowsky, who believes JFK shot at the moon landings and that's why the globe has…
Posted inStatistics
The Future of Scientific Publications: Abandon Journals?
It took three years--or was it four?---for a paper I submitted to the august journal Annals of Statistics to wend its way through peer review. When it came back to…
Posted inBook review Philosophy
Caring Is Killing Us: What’s Wrong With Benevolence by David Stove
This review ran last August, but because of pressures of work and the relevance this important book has to our upcoming elections, it's time for another look. Regular posts resume…
Posted inCulture
The Most Curious Use Of ‘Only’ You Will Ever See
Let's begin with a disclaimer: Yours Truly is not a psychologist, nor does he have psychiatric training. Therefore his use of lunatic, insane git, mentally deficient in the highest degree,…
Posted inBook review Culture Philosophy Statistics
Reasoning To Belief: Feser’s The Last Superstition: A Refutation of the New Atheism — Part Last: Skulls Full Of Nothing
Don't Think Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part Interlude, Part IV, Part V, Part VI. Part Last. Buy the book ($12.92 as of last glance). There is a…
Posted inCulture Fun Statistics
Help Wanted With Ideas For Survey About Who Will Win Presidency
It's the start of the long, last week of summer (and since I've spent the bulk of it in San Francisco, there was no summer at all), where most of…