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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Are Humans As Violent As In The Good Old Days?

If we had records of massacres as we have meteorological records, don't you think we might discover their internal laws, after several centuries of observation? --- Joseph de Maistre. There…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Environmentalist Fallacy Causing Global Warming Divide To Grow

A headline lifted from an MS-"Bias free"-NBC story: "Americans' divide over global warming getting deeper" (linked on HotAir). Subtitle: "Despite onslaught of science, resistance to the idea seems to be…
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Posted inStatistics

Statistical Results Associated With Increased Risk Of Exaggerating Risk

Our title, which is indistinguishable from a flood of others1, might read, "Reading Articles About The Misuse Of Statistics Increases Risk Of Apoplexy." Yes, for every article you read like…
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Posted inStatistics

What Are The Chances NASA’s Rogue Satellite Kills You?

Watch the skies! Identified flying objects released into space by NASA might fall on somebody's head, or at least land nearby a noggin, on Friday, 23 September 2011, at 12:43…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

It’s No Coincidence: Rarity Is Subjective

I have in my hand---you'll have to trust me---a certain blade of grass. He is my favorite. The titling curvature of his blade can only be described as rakish, although…
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Posted inStatistics

Criticism of Jerrett et al. CARB PM2.5 And Mortality Report

A pdf of this criticism may be downloaded here. The Jerrett report can be found here. Background on this subject can be found here. Overall Author Michael Jerrett and nine…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Occam’s Razor And Induction

Occam's razor: The simplest hypothesis is usually the best. Simplest is easy to understand, and non-controversial, or relatively so. Consternation creeps in with usually. Before that, first understand what is…
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Posted inBook review Fun Statistics

A Synthetic What? Lady Who Won Lotteries Is Statistician, More

Last big travel day. Off to the blue crammed into motorized sardine cans. I'll begin looking at comments and email tomorrow. Medical Science Advances On Bottoms Turns out that I…
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  1. Ray on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 12, 2026

    Remember the old song by Morris Albert? Feelings Nothing more than feelings Trying to forget my Feelings of love ETC.

  2. John M on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026

    Yes, Happy Veterans Day from Petty Officer First Class John. I look forward to the book! I enjoyed the first.

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    An impressive list that I shall look forward to reading when my wife (or son) buys it for me for…

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    Yes, time to stock up on necessities.

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    I'm still laughing about "Debolina".

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