Search Results for “probability” – Page 127

Robert Heinlein And Evolving Probabilities

Writer Stephen Dawson, a long-time participant at this blog, wrote and asked the following: In his The Moon is a Harsh Mistress, Robert Heinlein had his intelligent computer calculate the…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

Are Humans As Violent As In The Good Old Days?

If we had records of massacres as we have meteorological records, don't you think we might discover their internal laws, after several centuries of observation? --- Joseph de Maistre. There…

Culture Statistics

The Environmentalist Fallacy Causing Global Warming Divide To Grow

A headline lifted from an MS-"Bias free"-NBC story: "Americans' divide over global warming getting deeper" (linked on HotAir). Subtitle: "Despite onslaught of science, resistance to the idea seems to be…

Statistics

Statistical Results Associated With Increased Risk Of Exaggerating Risk

Our title, which is indistinguishable from a flood of others1, might read, "Reading Articles About The Misuse Of Statistics Increases Risk Of Apoplexy." Yes, for every article you read like…

Statistics

What Are The Chances NASA’s Rogue Satellite Kills You?

Watch the skies! Identified flying objects released into space by NASA might fall on somebody's head, or at least land nearby a noggin, on Friday, 23 September 2011, at 12:43…

Philosophy Statistics

It’s No Coincidence: Rarity Is Subjective

I have in my hand---you'll have to trust me---a certain blade of grass. He is my favorite. The titling curvature of his blade can only be described as rakish, although…

Statistics

Criticism of Jerrett et al. CARB PM2.5 And Mortality Report

A pdf of this criticism may be downloaded here. The Jerrett report can be found here. Background on this subject can be found here. Overall Author Michael Jerrett and nine…

Philosophy Statistics

Occam’s Razor And Induction

Occam's razor: The simplest hypothesis is usually the best. Simplest is easy to understand, and non-controversial, or relatively so. Consternation creeps in with usually. Before that, first understand what is…

patrivk healy on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 14, 2026
C-Marie. Look around you. Virtually all the ugly woman who have corrupted the western world in the last 50 years…
Cary Cotterman on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026
Every day there's some paper or article claiming that something is good for you, followed the next day by some…
spetzer86 on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026
Always fun watching the lectures.
JRob on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026
The epidemiologist fallacies are always enjoyable. It seems that there is a rash of scientists now saying that previous scientists…
Tars Tarkas on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026
"The unsweetened kids were born late 1951 to 1954, while the sugar-available kids were born after rationing ending in July…