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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Direct And Inverse Probability: The Bayesian Way

Class is almost over! Just three days (including today) left. I'm way behind reading comments. All logic, of which probability is an example, begins with a fixed list of premises…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Probability Is Conditional: An Answer To Senn; Part IV

Read Part III. Still with me? Hope so, because we're only on the second page of Senn's article (but don't fret; we'll be skipping most of it). Review: in logical-probability…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability Isn’t “Fair”: An Answer To Senn; Part III

A quick reminder that we're trying to unpack the meaning of the "is fair" in the proposition "This die is fair," and trying to deduce the probability this proposition is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is Only One Kind Of Probability: An Answer To Senn; Part II

Read Part I. Some of this material is explained in detail in this series. Just after the introduction, Senn starts his argument by claiming an "important distinction between two types…
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Posted inStatistics

Cornell Teaching Sojourn: Probability, Stats, & R

Time for the annual migration to Ithaca via a well accoutered golden coach (complete with undergraduates feeding professors grapes grown at Cornell's orchards). There I will linger for two weeks,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Probability Is Not Subjective (It Only Seems Like It Is)

Logic Start with standard logic; think syllogisms. This is not a trick question: Is it true or false that C = "George wears a hat"? There is no way to…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Probability & Swinburne’s P-Inductive & C-Inductive Arguments (For God’s Existence)

Because I am jet-lagged (and fundamentally lazy) here is a classic post, modified to include a homework assignment. Don't be like me: do the work. This post contains some fundamental…
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Posted inStatistics

Machine Learning, Big Data, Deep Learning, Data Mining, Statistics, Decision & Risk Analysis, Probability, Fuzzy Logic FAQ

Last Updated 3 December 2012, 7:24 AM EST. What's the difference between machine learning, deep learning, big data, statistics, decision & risk analysis, probability, fuzzy logic, and all the rest?…
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    Enough time has passed, since this post went up, for me to feel no need to stick to the topic.…

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    I would also like to point out that slaves often had *better* medical care than their working-class white counterparts, being…

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    Perhaps slave traders found low-intelligence blacks easier to capture, resulting in an intellectually challenged population of blacks in the U.S.…

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    Where do homicide rates fit in?

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    I am morally certain that murdering innocent children for fun and profit is evil. There. That was easy.

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