This is only a sketch of what's to come. In essence, today we begin the Class anew. Everything is about to get much harder, or much easier, depending on your…

The peer-reviewed paper is "Carbon majors and the scientific case for climate liability" by Christopher W Callahan and Justin S Mankin in Nature, a paper doubtless written using electricity provided…

For any observed data an infinite number of models will fit it perfectly. How do you choose between them? Illustrated with an IQ test logic puzzle. Video https://videopress.com/v/zaDcFlBz?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube…

Physicist and microchip inventor Federico Faggin is an open unabashed enthusiastic pantheist, or rather panpsychist. Any number of such people are found in the sandal-shod organic trail-mix crowd, the sort…

I flatter myself that this is the best general thing I have written to explain why you must never, not ever, use a p-value, hypothesis test, "significance", Bayes value, or…

WARNING! If you're attempting to read this via email and not on the site, you might encounter problems: the text might look like gibberish. The LaTeX interpreter, which I need…

Every scientist loves to say that of theories and models that are falsifiable are "scientific". Alas, this excludes by nature and in practice all models and theories used by scientists.…

In my forced isolation, which was in many ways a gift, I took to thinking of my failures to convince people not to use or trust standard statistical evidence. Here…