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Our First Discussion Of Coincidence: The Olympics Blackout
Posted inStatistics

Our First Discussion Of Coincidence: The Olympics Blackout

You will have heard perverts imposed themselves on the Olympic's opening ceremony, mocking God and committing innumerable blasphemies in the name of, well, whatever the name is of the sex…
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Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets
Posted inStatistics

Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets

Note: I wrote this on Saturday morning before the events of Sunday hilariously vindicated the conclusions below. My point was to illustrate how bets are not probabilities, though they do…
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Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!
Posted inStatistics

Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!

Link to all Classes. Video Announcement: In order to preserve sanity, I am not going to include any technical proofs in the Video lectures from now on. As important, indeed…
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Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry
Posted inStatistics

Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whatever reason) The Infamous Coin Flipping Machine! Link to…
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Class 12: Psychic Card Guessing & The Proportional Syllogism
Posted inClass

Class 12: Psychic Card Guessing & The Proportional Syllogism

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whatever reason) Link to all…
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Class 11: One Son Born Tuesday & Relevance. Update: Homework Added!
Posted inClass

Class 11: One Son Born Tuesday & Relevance. Update: Homework Added!

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute HOMEWORK: RELEVANCE. A psychic is guessing cards from a standard poker deck…
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Life Outside Earth:  Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification
Posted inStatistics

Life Outside Earth: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

SF writes: I’m reading Benedict XVI’s “In the Beginning” and he said something that has me thinking. According to Monod, there is in the universe not only necessity but also…
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Class 10: Minding Your Ps & Qs & Monty Hall
Posted inClass

Class 10: Minding Your Ps & Qs & Monty Hall

Class 10: Minding Your Ps & Qs & Monty Hall: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute HOMEWORK: You…
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    For the past 48 hours, I've been considering a fundamental, structural, problem with marbles; " Marmorism". Some people will accumulate…

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    Marbles was a thing in my primary school in Cambridge, England in the sixties. I don't recall girls ever playing…

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