Search Results for “probability” – Page 39

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry

Thanks to EMM for the donation! I was interviewed by Duncan Thorin Shields (he goes by Thorin) last week. He asked the best questions I think I've ever been asked.…

Statistics

AI Needs To Feed On Fresh Meat, Or It Dies

In Asimov's original Foundation, a novel set amidst a fading and decaying Empire, one saturated in hubris and self-esteem, we meet Lord Dorwin, a celebrated scholar from the Galactic Empire,…

Statistics

Broken Science Epistemological Camp Report

There was another Broken Science event this past weekend in the Phoenix area. Yours Truly was there. I gather the videos will be on line at some point, at the…

Philosophy Statistics

Why Attempts To Control Opinion Cause Opinion To Diverge

From Mars, John Carter reports in a wonderful essay discussing the Regime's attempts at manipulation says this: People don’t like being gaslit. The psychological techniques used by salesmen, con men,…

Philosophy

What Parts Of Reality Does Science Describe, And Which Parts Are Merely Constructs?

A rose would not smell as sweet if it was called, as it likely is called in German, a sourbloodpetal. Or whatever. Naming things, getting the good names for things,…

Philosophy Statistics

Our Base Metaphors & Analogies Used In Science Have Outlived Their Usefulness: Part I

Metaphors and analogies exhaust themselves. No matter how useful they are as guides to thought, pushed too far they can loosen our grip on Reality or lead to stagnation, and…

Book review

Science After Babel by David Berlinski Reviewed

David Berlinski is one of our best critics of the neo-Darwinian theory of evolution. He spends some time on this in his new book, which is a collection of pieces…

C-Marie on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026
What is the point of this writing????? God bless, C-Marie
Cary Cotterman on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026
Huh? Is this a joke, or what? As an ugly old dude who was only ever marginally attractive at all,…
Johnno on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026
If dating trends are anything to go by, the men are no longer looking... Imagination will suffice until the end…
Brian (bulaoren) on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026
Today is not April 1st (I checked). Physically unattractive women are not highly coveted on the mating market. Might that…
Philip Rogan on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026
Ugh, that put me off my lunch.