Search Results for “probability” – Page 6

When Does A Small Probability Mean Impossibility?

Question from reader Richard Stevens: A professional scientist, holding an MS in one of the hard sciences, addressed the argument that the probability of creating a protein or an enzyme…

Statistics

What’s The Probability Of A Nuclear War?

For readers in a hurry, here's the answer: There is no probability of a nuclear war. Nor of a conventional one. Nor even of you being victor in your next…

Philosophy Statistics

Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Ending The Tyranny Of Parameters!

Here it is! The one, the only, the peer-reviewed (and therefore true) "Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Solving the Evidential Crisis" (the link is to the pdf, which is 11 MB;…

Philosophy Statistics

Yep, Probability Is Not As Simple As You Think

Couple of folks (Mike W, Dan Hughes) asked me to comment on the article "The concept of probability is not as simple as you think" by Nevin Climenhaga. Three popular…

Statistics

The Probability Of Your Existence

A version of this column originally ran 7 July 2014. To the nearest order of magnitude, there have existed, including us, about 100 billion human beings. This proves what was…

Fun Statistics

The Probability of Monkeys Typing Shakespeare

This article, which originally appeared 20 May 2010, was inspired by reading Fredwin On Evolution, as wisely suggested by reader Bob Ludwick. At the bottom of Fred's piece, there appears…

Philosophy Statistics

Probability Of Abiogenesis? There Isn’t One

Remember before when we agreed nothing has a probability? Bully. So if no thing has a probability, neither does abiogenesis, since abiogenesis is a thing. Since abiogenesis is a thing…

Philosophy Statistics

Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!

Next time somebody asks you "What's the Probability of X", where X is any proposition, say this: there is no such probability. It doesn't exist. "Briggs, what's the probability of…

Brian (bulaoren) on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsJanuary 27, 2026
DTs? I think that condition is generally managed with benzodiazepines...no?
Cary D Cotterman on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsJanuary 27, 2026
When the Digital Twin is tasked to prophesy the effect of an mRNA shot on a patient, given the leftist…
Leonard on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsJanuary 27, 2026
The software company I worked for used “Digital Twin” in its marketing at least 15 years ago.
Neil Jordan on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsJanuary 27, 2026
Thank you for explaining the DTs. The term crept into civil engineering over the years and I interpreted it in…
Tars Tarkas on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsJanuary 27, 2026
"AI-powered technology" That sounds even better than a digital twin. "AI-Powered" is to "technology" what the supercharger is to an…