Search Results for “probability” – Page 6

Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Ending The Tyranny Of Parameters!

Here it is! The one, the only, the peer-reviewed (and therefore true) "Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Solving the Evidential Crisis" (the link is to the pdf, which is 11 MB;…

Philosophy Statistics

Yep, Probability Is Not As Simple As You Think

Couple of folks (Mike W, Dan Hughes) asked me to comment on the article "The concept of probability is not as simple as you think" by Nevin Climenhaga. Three popular…

Statistics

The Probability Of Your Existence

A version of this column originally ran 7 July 2014. To the nearest order of magnitude, there have existed, including us, about 100 billion human beings. This proves what was…

Fun Statistics

The Probability of Monkeys Typing Shakespeare

This article, which originally appeared 20 May 2010, was inspired by reading Fredwin On Evolution, as wisely suggested by reader Bob Ludwick. At the bottom of Fred's piece, there appears…

Philosophy Statistics

Probability Of Abiogenesis? There Isn’t One

Remember before when we agreed nothing has a probability? Bully. So if no thing has a probability, neither does abiogenesis, since abiogenesis is a thing. Since abiogenesis is a thing…

Philosophy Statistics

Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!

Next time somebody asks you "What's the Probability of X", where X is any proposition, say this: there is no such probability. It doesn't exist. "Briggs, what's the probability of…

Chapter 1 Excerpt from <em>Uncertainty: The Soul of Probability, Modeling & Statistics</em>

Book review Philosophy Statistics

Chapter 1 Excerpt from Uncertainty: The Soul of Probability, Modeling & Statistics

Buy the book! Necessary & Conditional Truth Given "x,y,z are natural numbers and x>y and y>z" the proposition "x>z" is true (I am assuming logical knowledge here, which I don't…

Philosophy Statistics

Quantum Potency & Probability

A note on a complex subject. Ed Feser points us to the paper "An Aristotelian Approach to Quantum Mechanics" by Gil Sanders, and in turn Sanders points us to "Taking…

Stosh from the Sticks on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
In my (moderately) humble opinion, much of difficulty in dealing with this "transgender" phenomenon is caused by folks conflating a…
C-Marie on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
"...being born wrong” Has anyone asked what being born has to do with one's sexuality??? "A zygote forms when sperm…
Cary Cotterman on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
Jeff, I used to listen to Dennis Prager quite a bit, and I've heard him condemn pornography at length several…
Cary Cotterman on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
As far back as I can remember, to around late toddlerhood, I was always drawn to girls, even long before…
JerryR on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
I have a question: what does it mean to be conservative? I always considered conservative to be truth. So what…