Search Results for “probability” – Page 7

Chapter 1 Excerpt from <em>Uncertainty: The Soul of Probability, Modeling & Statistics</em>

Chapter 1 Excerpt from Uncertainty: The Soul of Probability, Modeling & Statistics

Buy the book! Necessary & Conditional Truth Given "x,y,z are natural numbers and x>y and y>z" the proposition "x>z" is true (I am assuming logical knowledge here, which I don't…

Philosophy Statistics

Quantum Potency & Probability

A note on a complex subject. Ed Feser points us to the paper "An Aristotelian Approach to Quantum Mechanics" by Gil Sanders, and in turn Sanders points us to "Taking…

Book review Statistics

Uncertainty: The Soul of Models, Probability & Statistics. Chapter Abstracts

This post originally appeared right before the Uncertainty did. Now that we're 1.5 years out, it's time for a re-post. Buy it now, but it today, and buy it again…

Statistics

What People Think Probability Words Mean

The graph above came from Github and was the result of a poll of folks on Reddit. "The raw data came from /r/samplesize responses to the following question: What [probability/number]…

Class Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part XI

Review! We left off with comparing the standard, out-of-the-box linear regression with our multinomial predictive observable model. The great weaknesses of the regression were probability leakage (giving positive probability to…

Class Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part X

Review! Last time we created four models of CGPA. Which is correct? They all are. Why? I should ask as a homework question, but I'll remind us here. Since all…

Class Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part IX

Review! Last time we successfully computed our model (8): (8) Pr(CGPA = i | guesses of new measures, grading rules, old obs, model), where i = 0,...,5. The model…

Class Statistics

What Is The Probability Of COVFEFE?

From a tweet from Taleb, who informs us the following question is part of the Indian Statistical Institute examination. (5) Mr.Trump decides to post a random message on Facebook and…

hudbwu on Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” AbortionsOctober 8, 2026
Does a spematozoid have an aim? Then frustrating it's aim (by ejaculating wherever) would be harmful to the spermatozoid. Interesting…
John Jorgensen on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 6, 2026
It’s not the machines that are of concern but the models they run with great speed and access to huge…
James on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 5, 2026
Assuming a 100% materialist world view, one must conclude that one's OWN thought processes are just so many particles exchanging…
Tellme on There Are No Such Thing As Gays (Or Transexuals)October 5, 2026
Other than impotent boys before puberty, and old men with low testosterone, all humans masturbate on purpose, or by accident.…
Brian (bulaoren) on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 5, 2026
Perhaps "Artificial Intelligence" is like an Artificial sex-doll; not the real thing, but close enough to get the job done.