Search Results for “probability” – Page 7

Chapter 1 Excerpt from <em>Uncertainty: The Soul of Probability, Modeling & Statistics</em>

Chapter 1 Excerpt from Uncertainty: The Soul of Probability, Modeling & Statistics

Buy the book! Necessary & Conditional Truth Given "x,y,z are natural numbers and x>y and y>z" the proposition "x>z" is true (I am assuming logical knowledge here, which I don't…

Philosophy Statistics

Quantum Potency & Probability

A note on a complex subject. Ed Feser points us to the paper "An Aristotelian Approach to Quantum Mechanics" by Gil Sanders, and in turn Sanders points us to "Taking…

Book review Statistics

Uncertainty: The Soul of Models, Probability & Statistics. Chapter Abstracts

This post originally appeared right before the Uncertainty did. Now that we're 1.5 years out, it's time for a re-post. Buy it now, but it today, and buy it again…

Statistics

What People Think Probability Words Mean

The graph above came from Github and was the result of a poll of folks on Reddit. "The raw data came from /r/samplesize responses to the following question: What [probability/number]…

Class Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part XI

Review! We left off with comparing the standard, out-of-the-box linear regression with our multinomial predictive observable model. The great weaknesses of the regression were probability leakage (giving positive probability to…

Class Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part X

Review! Last time we created four models of CGPA. Which is correct? They all are. Why? I should ask as a homework question, but I'll remind us here. Since all…

Class Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part IX

Review! Last time we successfully computed our model (8): (8) Pr(CGPA = i | guesses of new measures, grading rules, old obs, model), where i = 0,...,5. The model…

Class Statistics

What Is The Probability Of COVFEFE?

From a tweet from Taleb, who informs us the following question is part of the Indian Statistical Institute examination. (5) Mr.Trump decides to post a random message on Facebook and…

Cary Cotterman on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026
Huh? Is this a joke, or what? As an ugly old dude who was only ever marginally attractive at all,…
Johnno on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026
If dating trends are anything to go by, the men are no longer looking... Imagination will suffice until the end…
Brian (bulaoren) on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026
Today is not April 1st (I checked). Physically unattractive women are not highly coveted on the mating market. Might that…
Philip Rogan on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026
Ugh, that put me off my lunch.
Aa on Death By Organ DonationAugust 2, 2026
I'm Doctor. I don't trust Doctors at all.