Posted inStatistics
Theoretical Basis Of Sampling: Reader Question
From Ernst: I was wondering if you could help me as a layman grasp a problem I'm wrestling with. Say I have a large tray and pour a gallon of…
Posted inCulture Statistics
More Asinine Global Warming Research — Introducing ‘Climate Liar’
This is a follow-up to yesterday's post. None of these "studies" merits a full-scale analysis, but they are silly enough to warrant a moment or two of your attention. Item…
Posted inStatistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1
We are finally at the most crucial part of the modeling process: proving if the damned thing works. Not "works" in the sense that we get good unobservable parameter estimates,…
Posted inCulture
Reactionary Movie: When Worlds Collide
Quite a while back there were calls asking for recommendations of reactionary movies. Besides The Caine Mutiny (which I have to review formally) and Logan's Run, the next one that…
Posted inStatistics
Another Proof Statistics Cannot Discover Cause
We discussed this before, but since it has come up recently in personal discussions, I wanted to offer this clarification. Suppose we're in a standard epidemiological situation, or even a…
Posted inStatistics
Pick A Random Number From 1-10
For even more edification, read this article in German: Denken Sie an eine Zahl zwischen 1 und 10. I'm picking a number between 1-10. What is the probability of you…
Posted inStatistics
New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof
Here is a link to the PDF. Briggs, William M., 2019. Everything Wrong with P-Values Under One Roof. In Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics, V Kreinovich, NN Thach, ND…
Posted inStatistics
A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study
We're going to soon talk more about "IQ" and "intelligence". I'm working on a more in-depth article on the subject to carefully explicate the vast over-certainties I see on "both…