Posted inStatistics
Stream: Why Science Is Broken & How To Fix It
Today's post is at The Stream: Why Science Is Broken, and How To Fix It: It comes down to bad politics, bad money, and bad philosophy. Here are snippets. Plus:…
Posted inStatistics
The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill. New Paper
New paper up at Arxiv, which is a sort of précis to some key chapters in my book most relevant to probability and statistical modeling. Abstract: There is a third…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
A Brief Explanation Of Occam’s Razor
We're interested in whether some proposition Y is true. One explanation, perhaps causal or deterministic, or even only probabilistic, is X. Thus, Pr(Y | X) is high or equals 1.…
Posted inStatistics
Video: The Crisis Of Evidence, Or, Why Probability & Statistics Cannot Discover Cause
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rbf_TXqEY-Y Thanks to Jeremy Snavely at DDP for putting up the talks. Here's a direct link. Here's the paper. Q & A starts around 52:30 minutes. Since some readers were…
Posted inStatistics
Science Confirms Astrology! Plus, Machine Learning, Big Data, And Causes
Health signs The alternate title to today's post, suggested by reader Kip Hansen, is "Data scientists find connections between birth month and health". Don't scoff. We're talking peer review and…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause. New Paper
Cancer of the albondigas is horrifyingly under-diagnosed. See your doctor today and ask him if Profitizol is right for you. Today's post, in a way, is at Arxiv: The Crisis…
Posted inBook review Statistics
Book Update — Uncertainty & Breaking The Law Of Averages
I'll have the page proofs for Uncertainty mid week and I've until 10 June to turn them back in. (I begin teaching on the 13th.) This puts publication in early…
Posted inPodcast
Are We Smart Enough To Know What Intelligence Is? — WMBriggs Podcast
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=exQZDW7KN5w Aaron Neville: You're So Smart Michio Kaku on the Evolution of Intelligence That was Michio Kaku on intelligence, getting some things right, some wrong. Let's focus on what he…
