Posted inStatistics
How Many Geniuses Are There?
This post originally appeared 15 September 2008. Here is a question I often give on exams: What is the probability that the next child to be born will be a…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Dutch Book: Or, How to Gamble
This post first appeared sometime before 2012, but I lost the original date due to the hacking. If you are a gambler, you'll be delighted to learn that there is…
Posted inFun
The Mathematics Of Santa Claus’ Present Delivery System
It's the time of year when people begin asking the very pertinent question: How does Santa Claus do it? How does he get all those presents to all those kids…
Posted inFun
Bloggy Details
Subscribe Been getting loads of emails---okay, a few---all right, one---on how to receive the daily posts, steaming hot, right in your Inbox. That's easy! Go to the bottom of the…
Posted inStatistics
What Lousy Philosophy Tells Us About Belief In Global Warming
One reason people doubt global-warming-of-doom is because of lousy philosophers like N. Ángel Pinillos (note the New York Times-sophisticated inclusion of the accent). He wrote a piece entitled (in some…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
Posted inCulture
Jews Tell Christians & Muslims To Put Trigger Warnings on Bible & Koran
Some Jews asked Christians to stamp the following warning on all Bibles: Warning: Jews Have Rejected Their Messiah. And they asked Muslims to insert this bookplate into every Koran: Muhammad…
Posted inStatistics
Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help
Mini-paper out in JAMA by Matt Vassar and pals: "Evaluation of Lowering the P Value Threshold for Statistical Significance From .05 to .005 in Previously Published Randomized Clinical Trials in…