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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
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Jews Tell Christians & Muslims To Put Trigger Warnings on Bible & Koran
Posted inCulture

Jews Tell Christians & Muslims To Put Trigger Warnings on Bible & Koran

Some Jews asked Christians to stamp the following warning on all Bibles: Warning: Jews Have Rejected Their Messiah. And they asked Muslims to insert this bookplate into every Koran: Muhammad…
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Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help
Posted inStatistics

Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help

Mini-paper out in JAMA by Matt Vassar and pals: "Evaluation of Lowering the P Value Threshold for Statistical Significance From .05 to .005 in Previously Published Randomized Clinical Trials in…
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The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials
Posted inClass Statistics

The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials

There was a paper a short while back, "Why all randomised controlled trials produce biased results", by Alexander Krauss, in the Annals of Medicine. Raised some academic eyebrows. Krauss says,…
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Black Coffee Drinkers Are Sadistic Psychos: It’s Science!
Posted inStatistics

Black Coffee Drinkers Are Sadistic Psychos: It’s Science!

Headline New study says you might be a psychopath if you like black coffee A new study from the University of Innsbruck in Austria says that people who drink their…
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Proof Cause Is In The Mind And Not In The Data
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Proof Cause Is In The Mind And Not In The Data

Pick something that happened. Doesn't matter what it is, as long as it happened. Something caused this thing to happen; which is to say, something actual turned the potential (of…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression

Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
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Poor Richard Carrier Goes On The Offensive
Posted inStatistics

Poor Richard Carrier Goes On The Offensive

Six years ago I wrote a small, daily piece (Bayes Theorem Proves Jesus Existed And Didn't Exist) about the use of probability in proving or disproving the existence of God.…
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  1. The Errors of Mr. Coffin on the PP signature and Apostolic Blessings – Roma Locuta Est on Munus, Ministerium & Pope Emeritus Benedict — Guest Post by Fr John RickertMay 16, 2026

    […] However, for the record I will note that myself and others (e.g., Ryan Grant, and Fr. John Rickert, HERE…

  2. John Pate on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 14, 2026

    You haven't given any information the beast sizes of the women involved, this being an important factor (as demonstrated by…

  3. JRob on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 14, 2026

    Wow, Wow, Wow! Someone else used the exaggeration method! Years ago I tried to figure out the Monte Hall problem…

  4. McChuck on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 13, 2026

    There is a simpler, less math-intensive solution that gives the same answer. Knowing that it doesn't take two men to…

  5. R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…

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