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More Asinine Global Warming Research — Introducing ‘Climate Liar’
Posted inCulture Statistics

More Asinine Global Warming Research — Introducing ‘Climate Liar’

This is a follow-up to yesterday's post. None of these "studies" merits a full-scale analysis, but they are silly enough to warrant a moment or two of your attention. Item…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1
Posted inStatistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1

We are finally at the most crucial part of the modeling process: proving if the damned thing works. Not "works" in the sense that we get good unobservable parameter estimates,…
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Reactionary Movie: When Worlds Collide
Posted inCulture

Reactionary Movie: When Worlds Collide

Quite a while back there were calls asking for recommendations of reactionary movies. Besides The Caine Mutiny (which I have to review formally) and Logan's Run, the next one that…
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Another Proof Statistics Cannot Discover Cause
Posted inStatistics

Another Proof Statistics Cannot Discover Cause

We discussed this before, but since it has come up recently in personal discussions, I wanted to offer this clarification. Suppose we're in a standard epidemiological situation, or even a…
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Pick A Random Number From 1-10
Posted inStatistics

Pick A Random Number From 1-10

For even more edification, read this article in German: Denken Sie an eine Zahl zwischen 1 und 10. I'm picking a number between 1-10. What is the probability of you…
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New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof
Posted inStatistics

New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof

Here is a link to the PDF. Briggs, William M., 2019. Everything Wrong with P-Values Under One Roof. In Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics, V Kreinovich, NN Thach, ND…
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A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study
Posted inStatistics

A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study

We're going to soon talk more about "IQ" and "intelligence". I'm working on a more in-depth article on the subject to carefully explicate the vast over-certainties I see on "both…
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Register Your Predictions For 2019!
Posted inFun

Register Your Predictions For 2019!

As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. Rules: Number…
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