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Posted inStatistics

Shocking New Research: Hunger Motivates Eating

Ladies and gentlemen, the opening line of the peer-reviewed paper "Hunger promotes acquisition of nonfood objects" appearing in the (once) venerable organ Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, by…
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Posted inStatistics

American Statistical Association Statement On Statistical Significance & P-values, With My Comments

Editorial Note: I had this originally scheduled to go Monday, but due to Stream's Creatorgate piece showing up yesterday, I delayed this by a day. I think I only have…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Real Philosophy Is Science — Guest Post by Old David

Editor's note: Old David, a.k.a. David Marwick from Australia, is familiar from the comment pages, and I thought it would be fun if he were on the receiving end of…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The So’s-Your-Old-Man Fallacy

I'm on the road for the next several days and won't always have access to the Internet. So I'm reposting a series of classic fallacies. Regular service to resume early…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Why Science Is Broken & How To Fix It

Today's post is at The Stream: Why Science Is Broken, and How To Fix It: It comes down to bad politics, bad money, and bad philosophy. Here are snippets. Plus:…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Brief Explanation Of Occam’s Razor

We're interested in whether some proposition Y is true. One explanation, perhaps causal or deterministic, or even only probabilistic, is X. Thus, Pr(Y | X) is high or equals 1.…
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Posted inStatistics

The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill. New Paper

New paper up at Arxiv, which is a sort of précis to some key chapters in my book most relevant to probability and statistical modeling. Abstract: There is a third…
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Posted inStatistics

Science Confirms Astrology! Plus, Machine Learning, Big Data, And Causes

Health signs The alternate title to today's post, suggested by reader Kip Hansen, is "Data scientists find connections between birth month and health". Don't scoff. We're talking peer review and…
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