Search Results for “probability” – Page 74

Stream: Attack Of The Black Swans From Outer Space!

Today's post is at The Stream: "Attack Of The Black Swans From Outer Space: Nassim Nicholas Taleb and his co-authors fail to show their precautionary principle provides any guidance in…

Book review Philosophy Statistics

An Introduction To Uncertainty: Probability, Statistics, and Modeling of All Kinds

This is a teaser, the first part of a 3,200-word narrative outline for the book that I've started to shop around. The current title is in the headline. Regular readers…

Statistics

Calculating Markov Chain Stationary Distributions Is Immoral?

No, I don't think so, but the Census Bureau thought (thinks?) as much. What follows is one of the more curious emails I've received, describing the experiences of Juan (not…

Philosophy Statistics

Sampling Variability Is A Screwy, Misleading Concept

https://twitter.com/Bigdatanalysis/status/573739862924353536 Because of travel and jet lag, exacerbated by "springing forward", we continue our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles next week. If you can't read the tweet above, it says…

Philosophy Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?

When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com's Senate prediction, it said "Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority." There were also words that the "probability that each party will win control…

Philosophy Statistics

Answering A Critic On Sampling Variability

Alfred 'Dominant Strategy' (ADS) is confused that "William Briggs is confused on sampling variability". I wrote an article highlighting misconceptions and mistakes people make when thinking about sampling variability, and…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Can God Know Things That Aren’t?

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Some simple…

Statistics

George Gilder’s Information Theory Of Money

This is the second part of a review of George Gilder's monograph The 21st Century Case for Gold: A New Information Theory of Money. The first part, about the return…

KGB on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 5, 2025
Cole's article, while reading like the diary of a jilted 7th grade girl, is the very embodiment of crying out…
Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025
John W, Garrett, You are welcome.
Richard S. on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025
I'm sorry but must correct the record. I have been a radio fan since the early 1960s -- AM, FM,…
John W. Garrett on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025
S.Sgt Briggs, Thanks for this near-perfect example of sophistry and thimble-rigging.
Briggs on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025
JDinPA, CCReed, I see Cole's accusations, but he offers no proof. If he has it, he ought to give it.…