Search Results for “probability” – Page 79

Don’t Use Statistical Models (When You Don’t Have To. Which Is Nearly Always)

Today, a convincing argument proving the current practice of probability and statistics is mostly wrong, or wrong-headed. The picture above does---and does not---show herbicide use in several countries by year…

Book review Fun Statistics

The Full Briggs?

Our friend Joseph Moore at Yard Sale of the Mind, a site surely on everybody's list already, whose photograph appears atop this post, wrote It doesn't get much more civilized…

Book review Statistics

Uncertainty Reviewed Again: It is such a good book, and I recommend it without reservation

Don Aitkin, author of Moving On: A Tale of the Millennium, also available here, and feted here, and reviewed here, has reviewed my Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability and…

Culture Philosophy

Musk’s Matrix Is Malodorous

"Elon Musk has said that there is only a 'one in billions' chance that we're not living in a computer simulation." Since all probability is conditional on the assumed premises,…

Book review Culture

The Demon In Democracy by Legutko, Part I: History — WMBriggs Podcast

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GIgH0bnWSnc Download MP3. I'm still sorting out my audio difficulties, which exist mainly due to my inexperience and inability. Please be forgiving as you adjust your volume and headphones. I've…

Book review Statistics

Uncertainty Interviewed By Brett Stevens at Amerika

Scoot on over to Amerika, where there is an interview with Yours Truly, focused on the philosophy of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Excerpt: You also write…

Statistics

On The Cubs’ & Trump’s Victories, Nate Silver’s Predictions & All That

https://twitter.com/ThaRightStuff/status/794045050753794048 Some crow is presumably being eaten by Nate Silver and the folks at FiveThirtyEight.com this fine morning. I recommend they bake it into a pie (which I learnt from…

Statistics

Statistical Models CANNOT Show Cause, But EVERYBODY Thinks They Can. Hence the Replication CRISIS

Please pass this on to ANY researcher who uses statistics. Pretty please. With sugar on top. Like I say below, it's far far far far far past time to cease…

hudbwu on Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You RacistDecember 12, 2025
I'll just point out that there is nothing in the Catholic doctrine that prohibits cannibalism. I was quite surprised when…
Johnno on Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You RacistDecember 11, 2025
The cemeteries??? The hospitals themselves will weigh you and cut you up and auction you off just like the first…
John Pate on Class 74: Contra Effect SizesDecember 11, 2025
The big sticking point for me is that everyone assumes they are sampling from the Normal Distribution for no reason…
Rob JM on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”December 11, 2025
What the holy tortured and misinterpreted data Batman! They were comparing apples to blended banana splits and then desperately tried…
John Pate on Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You RacistDecember 10, 2025
When the Indo-Pak agricultural systems collapse, which judging by their skirmishes over water will be in the near future, and/or…