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Posted inStatistics

Gonorrhea, Wee P-values, and Tax Increases

Adventurous reader Ted Poppke discovered a peer-reviewed paper that, according to the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), proved that increasing sales tax on booze "caused a 24% decrease in gonorrhea cases…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Severe (And Unrecognized) Limitations Of fMRI

So this 44-year-old Frenchman---let's call him Jacques---presented for a "mild left leg weakness". The leg bone being connected to the hip bone, etc., it was eventually discovered that Jacques's "skull…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Uncertainty Reviewed In The New Criterion

"William Briggs, the civilized world's most amusing statistician." Roger Kimball, author of The Fortunes of Permanence: Culture and Anarchy in an Age of Amnesia, The Rape of the Masters: How…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Falsifiability Is Not That Useful

False is not True We spoke earlier of falsification and why I didn't think it was an especially useful criterion. My tweets about it inspired Deborah Mayo, who advocates for…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Is Most Published Research Wrong? Yep. Here’s Why

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42QuXLucH3Q One of my students---my heart soars like a hawk!---sent me the video linked above. I'll assume you've watched it, as my comments make reference to it. About the dismal…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Difference Between Essential And Empirical Models

I was having a back-and-forth with a colleague on modeling types (see this post for a modeling hierarchy) and falsifiability. It's crucial we distinguish essential and empirical models, but first…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The City Of Sodom Possibly Identified (On Evidence)

A team of archaeologists are making the case for Sodom. Not for buggery, mind, but for the historical location of the doomed city. And when you hear the evidence for…
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Posted inCulture

Neil deGrasse Tyson’s Utopia, Rationalia

Who's up for Utopia? Neil deGrasse Tyson, that's who. He tweeted, "Earth needs a virtual country: #Rationalia, with a one-line Constitution: All policy should be based on the weight of…
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