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Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Logical Probability Data Analysis, Measurement Error Example

Read the introduction to this first. If you don't, you will be lost, lost, lost. Logical probability answer to B The answer to B follows from A. The picture is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Most Probabilities Aren’t Quantifiable

We've done this before in different form. But it hasn't stuck; plus we need this for reference. Not all probability is quantifiable. The proof for this is simple: all that…
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Posted inStatistics

Lovejoy’s New Attempt To Show We Are Doomed Does Not Convince

We last met Shaun Lovejoy when he claimed that mankind caused global temperatures to increase. At the 99.9% level, of course. He's now saying that the increase which wasn't observed…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part I

It's so simple that you'll think I'm kidding. Worse, the way I'll show it is such a radical departure from the manner in which you're used to thinking about probability…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part Last

Read Part I, Part Paradox, Part II Recapitulation: we have Pr(p|qm) where p is a proposition of interest, q the evidence we have compiled in the form of observations and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Somebody-Might-Get-Hurt! Fallacy

Word is our beneficent government, which loves us and would not see us fall into harm, is working on a design for a system of chains to anchor both citizens…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

On Truly Random Numbers

Party trick for you. I'm thinking of a number between 1 and 4. Can you guess it? Two? Nope. Three? Nope. And not one or four either. I know what…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Are The Chances Of That?

Go ahead and ask me. I'll even pretend to laugh. Just as I chuckle warmly with you when you quote Mark Twain (or Disraeli) abut damned lies. (Secretly, I'll be…
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    bruce, Absolutely nowhere will you find me "rejecting" IQ. The opposite is the case. I go out of my way,…

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