Search Results for “probability” – Page 95

Calculating Markov Chain Stationary Distributions Is Immoral?

No, I don't think so, but the Census Bureau thought (thinks?) as much. What follows is one of the more curious emails I've received, describing the experiences of Juan (not…

Philosophy Statistics

Answering A Critic On Sampling Variability

Alfred 'Dominant Strategy' (ADS) is confused that "William Briggs is confused on sampling variability". I wrote an article highlighting misconceptions and mistakes people make when thinking about sampling variability, and…

Culture

I Made “Climate Denial MVP”!

Gollum (who's he? see this post on the political witch hunt of scientists) wrote yesterday to announce that a group of us made the "Climate Denial MVP" List. I admit…

Philosophy Statistics

Sampling Variability Is A Screwy, Misleading Concept

https://twitter.com/Bigdatanalysis/status/573739862924353536 Because of travel and jet lag, exacerbated by "springing forward", we continue our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles next week. If you can't read the tweet above, it says…

Statistics

Der Spiegel Asks About Global-Warming-Causes-Syrian-Civil-War Paper

That peer-reviewed Colin Kelley et al. paper "Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought", which the traddy media is portraying like Wired did---e.g. How…

Statistics

Journal Bans Wee P-values—And Confidence Intervals! Break Out The Champagne!

Well, it banned all p-values, wee or not. And confidence intervals! The journal of Basic and Applied Social Psychology, that is. Specifically, they axed the "null hypothesis significance testing procedure".…

Fun

Coming Clean On My Global Warming Funding

Since the "Why models run hot" flap started a witch hunt in Congress, I thought I'd give the complete story of my funding for any work of any kind done…

Statistics

How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part III

Read Part I, Part II Part III This brings us to the second reason for measuring model goodness. Or rather an incorrect implementation of it. A lot of folks announce…

C-Marie on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026
Well said, everyone! So, do read Matthew 24 to know what Jesus said about the end times. God bless, C-Marie
Cary D Cotterman on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026
You can google the rarest of all animal species, some of which have only a few known living examples on…
Philip Rogan on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026
"To Serve Man."
Zundfolge on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026
I've been saying for some time that the public is being primed for a faux First Contact scenario (ala Project…
NLR on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026
If there really were a species that could travel here from another planet, that would be something totally outside the…