Search Results for “random chance” – Page 4

Results Consistent With Vote Switching Seen In Eaton County, Michigan — Guest Post by Stan Young, Tom Davis & Eric Quinnell

Briggs Do not let Biden, who sold the office of Vice Presidency, frighten you. The fight continues. https://twitter.com/SidneyPowell1/status/1337653024349687808 I'm part of this; for example, Georgia. Click through to the main…

Statistics

Why The Polls Are Wrong: Updates

This was originally written for a normie audience. See updates below. Polls Predict Biden On the evening of October 29th, The Economist updated their poll-based election forecast model. It gave…

Statistics

Vexxine Harms , Deaths & Passports; Mask Madness; More! — Coronavirus Update LXX & Heading To Infinity!

BURDEN OF PROOF I remind readers that we skeptics have no burden whatsoever to prove that mask mandates and lockdowns don't work, or even that experimental vaccines don't cause harm.…

FREE CLASS

UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Links to YouTube, Rumble, Bitchute, and Twitter inside each class. Jayne's Book (first part). Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack). Class 2:…

Philosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…

Culture

Troy 2.0 — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

The question has fairly arisen: do I still stand by my prediction(s) made in my book, The Barbarian Bible. The answer, of course, is 'Yes'. Double yes, to be exact.…

Other Practical Books On Par With <em>Uncertainty</em>? Reader Question

Fun Statistics

Other Practical Books On Par With Uncertainty? Reader Question

Got this email from VD. I've edited to remove any personal information and to add blog-standard style and links. I answered, and I remind all readers of the on-going claassre,…

Statistics

Yes, There Is A Hot Hand In Basketball

On the Second of March in the Year of Our Lord One Thousand Nine Hundred Sixty-Two, well before the sport became another venue for pencil-necked political correctness, a basketball player…

Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…
JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…
Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025
What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…
Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…
Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…