Search Results for “random chance” – Page 6

What Is The Probability Of COVFEFE?

From a tweet from Taleb, who informs us the following question is part of the Indian Statistical Institute examination. (5) Mr.Trump decides to post a random message on Facebook and…

Culture

Russia’s (Soft) War With The West, Part II — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Let us digress a moment and consider, as Svechin would, just what this word 'action' means to us in our present situation. Let us consider the peculiar nature of the…

Statistics

American Statistical Association Statement On Statistical Significance & P-values, With My Comments

Editorial Note: I had this originally scheduled to go Monday, but due to Stream's Creatorgate piece showing up yesterday, I delayed this by a day. I think I only have…

Statistics

Celebrating 4th of July Makes You Republican: Harvard Profs Say So

This post originally ran 1 July 2011. The authors never responded to my offer. Democrats! I beseech thee! Do not let thy children fly the flag on the Glorious Fourth!…

Philosophy Statistics

Uncertainty Discussed At Vox Popoli

Vox Day kindly reprinted the review of Uncertainty by Jayne at the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. Vox also has a copy of the book himself and there may…

Book review Statistics

Uncertainty Reviewed Again: It is such a good book, and I recommend it without reservation

Don Aitkin, author of Moving On: A Tale of the Millennium, also available here, and feted here, and reviewed here, has reviewed my Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability and…

Book review Statistics

‘Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics’ Reviewed Again

The following review appeared in the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons (pdf). Jane Orient is the lead doc at Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, publishers of the journal.…

Philosophy

Real Philosophy Is Science — Guest Post by Old David

Editor's note: Old David, a.k.a. David Marwick from Australia, is familiar from the comment pages, and I thought it would be fun if he were on the receiving end of…

Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…
JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…
Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025
What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…
Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…
Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…