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Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus
Posted inStatistics

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Background Some blue check journalist named Ferris Jabr, in a raw display of sobriety for a member of the Indigo Cheka, said None of this is to belittle what is…
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New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty
Posted inStatistics

New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty

By moi as well. Paper link. Abstract: The reason probability models are used is to characterize uncertainty in observables. Typically, certainty in the parameters of fitted models based on their…
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On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper
Posted inStatistics

On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper

The peer-reviewed paper is "Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale" by Sippel and Knutti an others in Nature: Climate Change. Look at that…
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Researcher In AI Responds To Criticisms
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Researcher In AI Responds To Criticisms

I received this thoughtful, and may I say highly accurate, email from reader EN, which I include in full below. I removed the age and name to protect EN's identity.…
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On That Fluoride-IQ Study & Statistical Silliness
Posted inStatistics

On That Fluoride-IQ Study & Statistical Silliness

I am in the Northwoods at the water's edge, far from the teeming masses, and I only had time to glance through this new study that claims that women who…
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That Study Claiming Religious Kids Are Less Altruistic That I Said Stinks Was Retracted
Posted inStatistics

That Study Claiming Religious Kids Are Less Altruistic That I Said Stinks Was Retracted

Long-time readers will recall the original criticisms of the paper "The Negative Association between Religiousness and Children's Altruism across the World" by Jean Decety, Jason M. Cowell, Kang Lee, Susan…
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The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again — Pesticides & Autism
Posted inStatistics

The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again — Pesticides & Autism

Long-time readers will recall the epidemiologist fallacy is a shotgun marriage of the ecological fallacy and wee p-values. Make that and/or confidence intervals. For confidence intervals are equivalent to p-values…
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An Infinity of Null Hypotheses — Another Anti-P-Value Argument
Posted inStatistics

An Infinity of Null Hypotheses — Another Anti-P-Value Argument

This is extracted from this set of papers, which should be read in full. An ordinary regression model is written      mu = beta_0x_1 + ... + beta_0x_p, where mu…
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