Posted inStatistics
Selling Fear Is A Risky Business: Part Last
Read Part I, Part II. Don't be lazy. This is difficult but extremely important stuff. Let's add in a layer of uncertainty and see what happens. But first hike up…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof
Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Does The Regression Equation Mean? Causality? Something Else?
Saw this tweet this fine morning: https://twitter.com/MarkThoma/status/276542962622668800 and downloaded the paper at the landing site, co-authored by Judea Pearl, he of Causality fame (a recommended book). Pearl and a co-author…
Posted inStatistics
Coal-Fired Power Plants Fuel Suicide—Or Maybe Sanguinity
Smokestack Seppuku Whatever you do, don't look at that smokestack! Do, and next thing you know you'll be drawing a knife across your throat. Suicide! Or so says the press…
Posted inStatistics
Belief In God Associated With Psychiatric Symptoms
Medicalizing Belief Would you say that a guy who claims he believes in a "just" God suffers from "psychiatric symptoms"? What if we swap "just" for "critical." Do we have…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Objective Bayes Vs. Logical Probability (Vs. Frequentism)
Reader and colleague JH has rightly taken me to task (via email) for incorrectly calling, or rather misleadingly labeling, logical probability "objective Bayes." She pointed to this set of lecture…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Abortion Safety: Doctors V. Nurses & Physician Assistants & Midwives—Part II
Update 4 Too late. 10 October 2013. Update 4 Moved this to top because the bill allowing non-doctors to perform abortions is on Gov. Brown's desk. He'll likely sign, but…
Posted inStatistics
Scientists Claim Brain Scans Can ID Pre-Criminals
"I'm sorry, sir. We cannot recommend Mr Jones be granted parole," said the man in the impressive white coat, on which was embroidered his name and the awe-inspiring initials "MD".…
