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Posted inStatistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky Business: Part Last

Read Part I, Part II. Don't be lazy. This is difficult but extremely important stuff. Let's add in a layer of uncertainty and see what happens. But first hike up…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More On True Models And Predictive Inference

Not all models are false. So much we have discussed before. To say a model is false is to show that one of the premises which comprise the model is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Objective Bayes Vs. Logical Probability (Vs. Frequentism)

Reader and colleague JH has rightly taken me to task (via email) for incorrectly calling, or rather misleadingly labeling, logical probability "objective Bayes." She pointed to this set of lecture…
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Posted inStatistics

Coal-Fired Power Plants Fuel Suicide—Or Maybe Sanguinity

Smokestack Seppuku Whatever you do, don't look at that smokestack! Do, and next thing you know you'll be drawing a knife across your throat. Suicide! Or so says the press…
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Posted inStatistics

Belief In God Associated With Psychiatric Symptoms

Medicalizing Belief Would you say that a guy who claims he believes in a "just" God suffers from "psychiatric symptoms"? What if we swap "just" for "critical." Do we have…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

Physical Anthropology: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part V

Read Part IV. Remember, we're doing summaries of summaries here; only bare sketches are possible. Buy his book for more detail. Question V is Physical Anthropology. The most contentious question…
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Posted inStatistics

Scientists Claim Brain Scans Can ID Pre-Criminals

"I'm sorry, sir. We cannot recommend Mr Jones be granted parole," said the man in the impressive white coat, on which was embroidered his name and the awe-inspiring initials "MD".…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Regnerus Controversy: Children In Traditional Families Do Better Than Those Raised In Non-Traditional Settings

Originally published 24 July 2012. No changes have been made, though I'm sorely tempted to comment on the weeds descending from Regnerus's chin. Doubtless the nastiest phenomenon in nature is…
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  1. Johnno on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsFebruary 1, 2026

    So instead of any actual fieldwork and gathering physical materials and samples, will the scientists now be using digital replicas…

  2. Robert Berger on Physics & Vertical Causation: The End of Quantum Reality by Wolfgang Smith ReviewedFebruary 1, 2026

    Thel Physics comments miss the entire metaphysical point ! (for the most part) We are now getting back to essence.…

  3. Robert Berger on Wolfgang Smith’s Vision Of Oneness — Guest Post by Ianto WattFebruary 1, 2026

    Whatever failures there are in the human writings and thought of Wolfgang Smith, he is the best mind on Physics…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 30, 2026

    Great lecture, William. Took a year of time series in grad school...all math, zero discussion of how fragile “trends” really…

  5. Martin on Fatima, Russia & You, Part IV — Guest Post by Ianto WattJanuary 30, 2026

    Brilliant. Thank you.

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