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What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!
Posted inStatistics

What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!

One of our main themes is Uncertainty. In short, there is not enough of it, especially in Science. Which is to say, there is a surfeit of certainty. We drown…
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Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance
Posted inStatistics

Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance

Thanks to AS! I don't have your email, so I hope you see this. The epidemiologist fallacy occurs when a scientist announces, directly or implicitly, that X Causes Y, but…
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How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series
Posted inStatistics

How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series

Day five of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
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Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake
Posted inClass Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…
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The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Posted inStatistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
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Did The Covid Vax, Or Any Vax, Cause ADHD or Autism? Steve Kirsch’s Survey Data Analyzed
Posted inStatistics

Did The Covid Vax, Or Any Vax, Cause ADHD or Autism? Steve Kirsch’s Survey Data Analyzed

This site is mirrored at Substack for those who prefer that format. Introduction Steve Kirsch ran a survey asking parents to say about their kids how many vaccinations of all…
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Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch
Posted inStatistics

Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch

Nature headline: "Timing matters for COVID vaccine effectiveness: Younger and older people gained greater protection if they had their jabs in the middle of the day." Good joke: "Went from…
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An Instance Of How “The Science” Is Produced: Gender Equality Edition
Posted inStatistics

An Instance Of How “The Science” Is Produced: Gender Equality Edition

This post is, as they say, in the weeds. But it's necessary for those who want to know how The Science is produced. I saw a tweet, the veracity of…
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  1. hudbwu on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 25, 2026

    P.S. And don't for a moment think we've escaped from the crutches of oblivion that ate all those books! A…

  2. hudbwu on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 25, 2026

    Here's a video that talks about all the books you will never, ever read. Watch and weep. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fcb2oLSb7Cs

  3. Johnno on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026

    Not only must we Follow THE SCIENCE (tm), but we must LIKE and hit the Notification Bell to be updated…

  4. Johnno on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 24, 2026

    NLR - My favorite pet peeve are restaurants where there are no printed menus, just QR codes to the menu…

  5. Johnno on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 24, 2026

    The plan is for an EMP to destroy everything and leave a convenient gap in the years between 2000 and…

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