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Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus
Posted inStatistics

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Background Some blue check journalist named Ferris Jabr, in a raw display of sobriety for a member of the Indigo Cheka, said None of this is to belittle what is…
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On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper
Posted inStatistics

On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper

The peer-reviewed paper is "Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale" by Sippel and Knutti an others in Nature: Climate Change. Look at that…
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How’d We Do On Our 2019 Predictions?
Posted inCulture Fun

How’d We Do On Our 2019 Predictions?

A strong no prize this year. Nobody did well enough. Not enough specific predictions, or those that were specific did not come to pass. Doom predictions are too easy: they…
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Scientists On Average Growing Dumber: 11,000 Scientists Want You To Die To SAVE THE PLANET
Posted inStatistics

Scientists On Average Growing Dumber: 11,000 Scientists Want You To Die To SAVE THE PLANET

We talked many times of the expansion effect. A small core of experts, real and true great (or at least good) minds on some subject, are injected by design with…
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Synod Leaders Sign Pact Of Extreme Global Warming, Silly Walks
Posted inCulture

Synod Leaders Sign Pact Of Extreme Global Warming, Silly Walks

Over the weekend, so ace report Edward Pentin tells us, leaders at the Amazon Synod signed a document "Pact of the Catacombs for the Common Home", an echo of an…
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Realist Catholic Climate Declaration Is Live
Posted inStatistics

Realist Catholic Climate Declaration Is Live

Access it directly at this link. Or read it here! The Declaration The Magisterium of the Catholic Church makes no mention of earth's optimal climate, or the best rate of…
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Draft Realist Catholic Climate Declaration: Please Share!
Posted inCulture

Draft Realist Catholic Climate Declaration: Please Share!

Here we are, friends. As promised, Draft 2 of the Realist Catholic Climate Declaration. Draft 1 is at the bottom, with a summary of critiques. The goal is to have…
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How Ignorance & The Elite Created Our New Environmental Religion
Posted inCulture Statistics

How Ignorance & The Elite Created Our New Environmental Religion

https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1176231980159160322 We've talked many times about how the child Greta Thunberg from the depths of Europe is ignorant of all atmospheric physics. Ignorant, as in she knows nothing. She couldn't…
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  1. Eric Kay Sci Fi on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Thanks for the write-up. Thinking about things in the way of a probability distribution has always helped me, but also…

  2. Philip Rogan on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Brian, good comment. A coincidence is only a coincidence to the person to which the coincidence occurred.

  3. John Pate on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Now do Synchronicity.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  5. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

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