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The Usefulness Of Historical Analogues: Russian – West Intelligentsia Parallels Example
Posted inCulture

The Usefulness Of Historical Analogues: Russian – West Intelligentsia Parallels Example

Ed Lorenz back in 1961 was running, on a computer!, a simple weather model, with twelve full parameters. This was in the days of punch cards and paper print outs.…
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I Was In A Movie With Hercules: All You Climate Doom Sucks Got Is Leonardo Dicaprio
Posted inStatistics

I Was In A Movie With Hercules: All You Climate Doom Sucks Got Is Leonardo Dicaprio

I, your humble host, a justly famed celebrity, a notorious, even infamous, masker of scientific over-certainty, a universally acknowledged mind of unparalleled perpendiculars, some would even say an outsized enfant…
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NOAA Hires Climate Realist, Media Strokes Out
Posted inStatistics

NOAA Hires Climate Realist, Media Strokes Out

Dear Men of the Right, you might complain that you have not got all you wanted from President Trump. But you will not be able to deny he has the…
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Who Do You Trust More: A Sturgis Biker or An Academic Economist Waving His Wee P-value Around?
Posted inStatistics

Who Do You Trust More: A Sturgis Biker or An Academic Economist Waving His Wee P-value Around?

The only thing right about that new Sturgis Biker paper everybody is talking about is the opening quotation from somebody calling himself Smash Mouth (asterisks original): "Now we're all here…
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Coronavirus Update XXVIII: fear, Fear, FEAR!
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXVIII: fear, Fear, FEAR!

Eeeeeeek! What are you afraid of? From Italy: "The president of the Italian Society of Anti-infection Therapy (SITA) said Thursday that over 90 percent of new cases of coronavirus in…
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How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question
Posted inStatistics

How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question

From Alan Tomalty we have this question: No one has been able to separate out the amount of warming due to natural causes and amount due to CO2. Therefore I…
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There Is No Evidence Lockdowns Saved Lives. It Is Indisputable They Caused Great Harm
Posted inStatistics

There Is No Evidence Lockdowns Saved Lives. It Is Indisputable They Caused Great Harm

Also see this important update: Bad Arguments For Lockdowns & The Burden Of Proof. Also: US States Analysis. The US has a little more than 4% of the world population.…
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Coronavirus Update XI — Robbing The Cemeteries To Pad Death Totals
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XI — Robbing The Cemeteries To Pad Death Totals

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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  1. Eric Kay Sci Fi on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Thanks for the write-up. Thinking about things in the way of a probability distribution has always helped me, but also…

  2. Philip Rogan on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Brian, good comment. A coincidence is only a coincidence to the person to which the coincidence occurred.

  3. John Pate on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Now do Synchronicity.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  5. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

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