Posted inStatistics
Homogenization of temperature series: Part IV
Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V How much patience do you have left? On and on and on about the fundamentals, and…
Posted inStatistics
Homogenization of temperature series: Part III
Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V We still have work to do. This is not simple stuff, and if we try and…
Posted inPhilosophy
Homogenization of temperature series: Part II
Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Aside: counterfactuals A counterfactual is statement saying what would be the case if its conditional were…
Posted inStatistics
Homogenization of temperature series: Part I
Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Introduction Time to get technical. First, surf over to Willis Eschenbach's gorgeous piece of statistical detective…
Posted inPhilosophy
Just what are falling temperatures evidence of?
If increasing temperatures are consistent with or are evidence of global warming, what theory is consistent with or evidence of falling temperatures? Global warming, too? We have to ask this…
Posted inStatistics
CO2 and Temperature: which predicts which?
Parts of this analysis were suggested by Allan MacRae, who kindly offered comments on the exposition of this article which greatly improved its readability. The article is incomplete, but I…
Posted inStatistics
How to look at the RSS satellite-derived temperature data
It's already well known that the Remote Sensing Systems satellite-derived temperature data has released the January figures: the finding is that it's colder this January than it has been for…
Posted inStatistics
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
The signal+noise notion of time series is usually wrong. Most time series are pure signal, no noise. And since they are accidental series, models of them are correlational not causal.…