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UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
Posted inStatistics

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Regular readers know I have been predicting our return to the 1970s (here and here). Not directly, you understand. There will be no bell-bottom pants or leisure suits, but only…
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Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
Posted inStatistics

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

Announcement: I wrote this Class for a general audience. Anybody can read it. And should if they are interested in Science. There's only a little notation, which can be ignored…
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Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
Posted inStatistics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
Posted inStatistics

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

As happens throughout history, named persons end up meeting. In this case, Carl Jung and Wolfgang Pauli. As this article says: Jung and Pauli struck an unusual friendship, which lasted…
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Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
Posted inStatistics

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 79: Time Series Example
Posted inStatistics

Class 79: Time Series Example

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don't expect all want to read these posts. So please don't feel like you must. Yet, I…
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  1. McChuck on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 18, 2026

    The number of new climate change papers is proportional to USAID funding and inversely proportional to the number of new…

  2. Cary Cotterman on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    I'm not worried about "climate change" or "covid". I'm worried about what BS the money-hungry and power-hungry, and the useful…

  3. Tars Tarkas on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    "The graph is not normalized by number of scientists. In 1960, there were far fewer scientists than there are now.…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    This is probably wishful thinking but...might it be the academic climate that has changed?.....nah

  5. _Jim on You Can’t Con An Honest Man & The Case of Jason ArdayAugust 14, 2026

    And, just like that, he (apparently) self-exterminates. Found unresponsive and declared deceased where they found him today, Friday the 14th…

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