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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Do People Really Believe In Chance & The Deadly Sin of Reification?

From our very own JMJ, who asked this in response to an announcement of my new book (read this first): Briggs, how many people how you encountered who need these…
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Posted inStatistics

The Deadly Sin Of Reification Strikes Again!

https://twitter.com/TheRickWilson/status/725150630441000960 If you can't see the tweet, and tweets are ephemeral, the screen shot is also given. Now I do not give a damn about the election, so please not…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Masters Predictions & (Some) Statistics — Podcast Bonus

PODCAST BONUS! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNsyJf2MX2w See last Master's year's predictions here. Since not much has changed, I'm doing a lot of copying and pasting. The Podcast bonus is because of the screwed…
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Posted inStatistics

Keenan’s $100-Grand Climate Challenge & Randomness

Lots of people are asking me about Douglas Keenan's challenge to identify which time series meets a certain criterion. If our betters are as good as they say at identifying…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: Academics Increasingly See Christianity As A Sickness To Be ‘Treated’

Today's post is at The Stream: Academics Increasingly See Christianity as a Sickness to be 'Treated'. There is a trend in academia to seek for materialistic explanations of religion, particularly…
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Posted inStatistics

Tide Gauge Locations And Sea Level Rise, Some Statistical Concerns

Marcel Crok asked me to comment on the peer-reviewed paper "Tide gauge location and the measurement of global sea level rise" Beenstock (yes) and others in the journal Environmental and…
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Posted inStatistics

Trenberth Is Wrong About Global Warming: The PDO Is An Effect, Not A Cause

Kevin "Travesty" Trenberth had a peer-reviewed article in Science entitled, "Has there been a hiatus? Internal climate variability masks climate-warming trends." First, the word "hiatus" is wrong. Using it assumes…
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Posted inStatistics

Keeping It Simple: The Value Of An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model. New Paper

The rebuttal to the criticism of our original peer-reviewed climate model paper "Why models run hot" has been published in Science Bulletin. It is also peer-reviewed, and therefore it must…
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  1. McChuck on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 18, 2026

    The number of new climate change papers is proportional to USAID funding and inversely proportional to the number of new…

  2. Cary Cotterman on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    I'm not worried about "climate change" or "covid". I'm worried about what BS the money-hungry and power-hungry, and the useful…

  3. Tars Tarkas on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    "The graph is not normalized by number of scientists. In 1960, there were far fewer scientists than there are now.…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    This is probably wishful thinking but...might it be the academic climate that has changed?.....nah

  5. _Jim on You Can’t Con An Honest Man & The Case of Jason ArdayAugust 14, 2026

    And, just like that, he (apparently) self-exterminates. Found unresponsive and declared deceased where they found him today, Friday the 14th…

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