Search Results for “trend” – Page 39

Scientific Forecasts, Not Scenarios, For Climate Policy—Guest Post by J. Scott Armstrong

The human race has prospered by relying on forecasts that the seasons will follow their usual course, while knowing they will sometimes be better or worse. Are things different now?…

Statistics

(Most) Everything Wrong With Time Series

It came out at my recent meeting that a compilation of everything wrong with time series was in order. A lot of this I've done before, and so, just as…

Culture Philosophy

Anti-Human Leader: Every Woman, Everywhere, Could Have Contraception

"Isn't she pretty. What's her name?" "Susan. After my grandmother." "Have you had her fixed yet?" Don't fret! That's a conversation you won't be hearing. Because why? Because, of course,…

Statistics

Some Hollywood Money Statistics

Here, for no reason I can identify except I found it fun and the last long weekend of summer is upon us, are some statistics on the state of Hollywood…

Book review Philosophy

Our Brains Are Not Us: Review of Brainwashed

My nomination for Worst Use of Inference in a Scientific Paper (2009) is "The neural correlates of religious and nonreligious belief" by brain scientist cum philosopher Sam Harris and colleagues.…

Culture

What’s Happening Between Russia And The Church?

No, really. I'm asking. I don't know but would like to. Something's brewing, or perhaps has already brewed. Consider these points: Item Patriarch Kirill "warned Western governments on Sunday against…

Statistics

The Consensus On Global Cooling

It is an interesting exercise to read press reports of the Consensus. The Consensus as was, not as is. The Consensus as of 1975, when the sky was literally going…

Culture Philosophy

Relevance, Tolerance, And Vanishing Christianity

From Tim Stanley of the Telegraph: America's liberal Christians might be progressive and inclusive, but they are also dying out. The marketing mantra of liberal Christianity is "change or die."…

Brian ( bulaoren) on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026
Ps. When I saw "River's Edge", it reminded me of a, weirdly, morally ambiguous 1950s Hitchcock film (with Jerry "Beaver"…
Cary Cotterman on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026
As a child in the 1960s, I tended to get injured more often in warm months than in cold months,…
Brian (bulaoren) on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026
Today's subject seems a bit too warm to touch. Well, somebody has to break the ice (9?). I keep remembering…
Tars Tarkas on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026
"Our results suggest instead that child neglect is measurably responsive to high temperatures—parents are intentionally or unintentionally allowing their young…
gareth on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 7, 2026
So, was there any actual plant bothering done? Or was this all "thought experiment"? It was not clear to me…