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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

UN: Population To Swell To 15 Billion By 2100

It took two- to three-hundred thousand years for humans to break the 7 billion mark, which it is scheduled to do sometime late this year or early in 2012. But…
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Posted inStatistics

D.J. Keenan’s And My BEST Methodology Reviews

Doug Keenan was asked by The Economist to have a gander at the statistics developed by the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project. He did so. We must resist extensive…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Legal Standards Of Proof And Probability

Different courts and legal systems use diverse phrases about evidentiary standards of proof1. Few to none are precise in the sense that they offer a fixed probability number for this…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Warming Increases Disastrous Music: A Scientific Paper

A scientific paper in a grand tradition (notice the scientific formatting and use of p-values): the custom is to read only the Abstract; only the brave and bored should venture…
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Posted inStatistics

Are 40 Percent of Europeans Mentally Ill?

Forty-percent of a population is a lot. Imagine a street filled with people---European people. Perhaps they are standing in line waiting for their free health care. Four out of ten…
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Posted inStatistics

Spencer’s Paper Reviewed; Remote Sensing Editor Wolfgang Wagner Resigns

Politics In one of the most asinine, self-promoting, sniveling, absurd, nakedly political moves Wolfgang Wagner has resigned, with trumpets blazing, his editorship of Remote Sensing. Why? Because the journal under…
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Posted inStatistics

UN Nearly Makes Climate Change A Peace And Security Matter

Sorry for the cliché but Double, double toil and trouble; Fire burn, and caldron bubble! Global warming is generating an "unholy brew" of vexatious weather events that threaten "international peace…
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Posted inStatistics

Reading Spencer’s Radiation Paper; Polar Bears Flap: Scientist Under Investigation

Thanks to all the readers who have altered me to Roy Spencer and William Braswell's new paper, "On the Misdiagnosis of Surface Temperature Feedbacks from Variations in Earth's Radiant Energy…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    There's always something busting on a house or a car, and mean weather doesn't help. The joy of home and…

  2. shawn marshall on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    c'mon global warming!

  3. Chad W Jessup on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    Wish some of that snow would come west, as it looks like La NiƱa is not helping out here. Repairing…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    Dr. Briggs I reckon you can be forgiven for today's little screed; That weather sounds pretty nasty. My only experience…

  5. Lucy Tucker on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    Yikes, Sarge, hang in there!

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