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Happy 4th Anniversary, Price of Panic!
Posted inStatistics

Happy 4th Anniversary, Price of Panic!

Sunday was the 4th anniversary of the book that took the world by storm (teacup sized), smacked Experts silly, called for protection of the vulnerable before it was cool, and…
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The Theory Of Misinformation Argues For Restoring Literacy Tests For Voting
Posted inStatistics

The Theory Of Misinformation Argues For Restoring Literacy Tests For Voting

I have been critical of the theory of Official Mis- and Official Disinformation, given that they necessarily imply the existence of Official Truths (see blog/Substack). As I have long said,…
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The Misinformation Dis(mis)course Revisited : The Losing Battle of The Academic Expertocracy — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inCulture

The Misinformation Dis(mis)course Revisited : The Losing Battle of The Academic Expertocracy — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Introduction Some time ago I wrote about The science of fake news. I must confess, I find this misinformation discourse thoroughly boring. Why? Because it reveals the most plebeian of human…
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Do Our Rulers Really Believe What They Say They Believe & What To Do About It
Posted inCulture

Do Our Rulers Really Believe What They Say They Believe & What To Do About It

Do our rulers, Experts, elites and celebrities really believe what they say they believe about "gender", "climate change", "racism" and so forth? For instance, when these people say that that…
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Did Republicans Report More Vax Adverse Events? How Not To Do Statistics
Posted inStatistics

Did Republicans Report More Vax Adverse Events? How Not To Do Statistics

A perpetual staple of statistical shenanigans are "studies" comparing one heterogeneous population with other, or with many other heterogeneous populations, where the researcher picks out one item among the myriad…
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New Zealand Forced To Release New Vax Data: Here’s The Analysis
Posted inStatistics

New Zealand Forced To Release New Vax Data: Here’s The Analysis

There's been an update on the New Zealand vax data. The government ponied up some official numbers. Some are excited about this. Alas, like the previous leaked data, I don't…
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Academics Blame Lower Trust In Scientists On Everything But Bad Scientists
Posted inCulture

Academics Blame Lower Trust In Scientists On Everything But Bad Scientists

The second sentence of the abstract of a new paper about trust in scientists, which is generally high but in some places low, provides the very reason for distrust: "Public…
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How Did We Do In Our 2023 Predictions? Lousy
Posted inFun

How Did We Do In Our 2023 Predictions? Lousy

As usual, we had many predictions for 2023, too many to list them all. As before, I’ll only highlight the best, or worst, or funniest forecast every entrant gave. For…
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  1. William Wallace on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 6, 2026

    I believe that the anger which creeps into conversations about whether or not AI can become sentiment has nothing to…

  2. NLR on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    I agree with the paper test; like the Chinese room argument, it is a way to illustrate that a mechanical…

  3. Briggs on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    Eric, Darn similar, and (I hope) simplified.

  4. Eric Brown on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    Isn’t this Searle’s Chinese Room argument? Not that I disagree with either of you…

  5. Rhetocrates on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    I disagree with the conclusion of the test. There is no need for panic or concern over the possibility of…

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