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Warming in Terms of Human and Natural Factors
Posted inStatistics

Warming in Terms of Human and Natural Factors

Today's title is adapted from the peer-reviewed paper "The Detection and Attribution of Northern Hemisphere Land Surface Warming (1850–2018) in Terms of Human and Natural Factors: Challenges of Inadequate Data",…
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I’m An Expert: I Must Be Right
Posted inPhilosophy

I’m An Expert: I Must Be Right

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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How I Became A  Renegade Scientist
Posted inFun

How I Became A Renegade Scientist

This old picture of myself and a fellow outlaw is given as proof of my deep anti-social propensities. A friend of mine, long ago, would sit and listen to George…
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NOAA Hires Climate Realist, Media Strokes Out
Posted inStatistics

NOAA Hires Climate Realist, Media Strokes Out

Dear Men of the Right, you might complain that you have not got all you wanted from President Trump. But you will not be able to deny he has the…
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Coronavirus Update VII — We’ve Got Models (Update)
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update VII — We’ve Got Models (Update)

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, and…
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(Hot) Air Let Out of California’s Global Warming Lawsuit
Posted inStatistics

(Hot) Air Let Out of California’s Global Warming Lawsuit

The California court climate class ordered by a judge has ended---with everybody agreeing the climate has changed. This is good news. It means anybody who calls an oil company representative…
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Update: That Silly Asylum Applications & Temperature Fluctuations Paper
Posted inStatistics

Update: That Silly Asylum Applications & Temperature Fluctuations Paper

Update at bottom. I was asked by Axel Bojanowski, Science Editor at Der Spiegel to examine the Science paper "Asylum applications respond to temperature fluctuations" by Anouch Missirian and Wolfram…
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Posted inStatistics

The Consensus That Wasn’t: Less Than 1%, Not 97%

If I hear that "97% of scientists agree..." nonsense number just one more time---why, I'll laugh. And why not? It is comedy in its best democratic form. That screwy figure…
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  1. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  2. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

  3. JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025

    How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.

  4. Jonas P. Kay on Which God Are You Rejecting? David Bentley Hart’s The Experience of God, Part IJune 28, 2025

    I answer all by saying you cannot get something from nothing. There is beauty in its simplicity and it is…

  5. Johnno on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJune 27, 2025

    So what's the betting pool on the odds about when and in which country will be the first to perform…

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