
Take a look-see at this science pic: This is the output from some model, the nature of which is not especially interesting, and the accompanying observations. In other words, predictions and the […]
Take a look-see at this science pic: This is the output from some model, the nature of which is not especially interesting, and the accompanying observations. In other words, predictions and the […]
We’ve talked many times before, and at greater length in Uncertanity, about the concept of falsifiability. It has come up again lately. The term shouldn’t be but is equivocal. I mean it […]
False is not True We spoke earlier of falsification and why I didn’t think it was an especially useful criterion. My tweets about it inspired Deborah Mayo, who advocates for the new […]
Review! Last time we created four models of CGPA. Which is correct? They all are. Why? I should ask as a homework question, but I’ll remind us here. Since all probability is […]
This post originally appeared right before the Uncertainty did. Now that we’re 1.5 years out, it’s time for a re-post. Buy it now, but it today, and buy it again tomorrow! Chapter […]
I was having a back-and-forth with a colleague on modeling types (see this post for a modeling hierarchy) and falsifiability. It’s crucial we distinguish essential and empirical models, but first a word […]
Another review of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, this one taken from an Amazon customer. It was 7 or 8 years ago when I was sitting in my office […]
Thanks to Jeremy Snavely at DDP for putting up the talks. Here’s a direct link. Here’s the paper. Q & A starts around 52:30 minutes. Since some readers were curious, George Gilder […]
Recent Comments