This was originally written for a normie audience. See updates below. Polls Predict Biden On the evening of October 29th, The Economist updated their poll-based election forecast model. It gave a 96% […]

Pew has a large survey out with the title “In a Politically Polarized Era, Sharp Divides in Both Partisan Coalitions: Partisanship remains biggest factor in public’s political values.” I have two statistical […]

Many will have already seen my analysis of Matt Braynard’s poll asking people in several states whether they requested an absentee ballot, and whether or not they returned that ballot. Gist: maybe […]

This post first appeared in modified form on 29 Januarty 2014. It also appears (also modified) in Chapter 4 of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. Have you heard of Mesd-su-Re? One of […]

Around 154 thousand votes or so (plus or minus) have perhaps gone missing across several states. In Pennsylvania alone maybe 30 thousand or so Republican ballots are not accounted for. And that’s […]

I’m working on more analysis which will appear soon. The media can’t make up its mind. Not about Trump, whom they loathe because the man called them out for what they are. […]

There should be a national mask mandate. — Andrew Cuomo (@NYGovCuomo) July 23, 2020 We might as well have a tinfoil hat mandate to protect from aliens. It would, at this point, […]