William M. Briggs

Why The Continuing Appeal Of The Appeal To Non-Authority Fallacy?

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Ladies and gentlemen, allow me to introduce to you proof that "climate change" has completed its transformation from Science into yet…

Statistics

Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. We know all about models by now, do we not, dear readers? A model, also known as a theory, can be…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A Model? We need to know to test between good and bad science

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, BitChute, and Gab. Before we describe what models are in science, it's best to know, and to never forget, that all models only say…

Statistics

Dutch Regime To Seize Private Land Because Of Faux Nitrogen Crisis – A Brutal Example Of The Science

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Today's podcast has a lot more material than the written post, because, mainly, I was livid over this land grab. It's…

Philosophy

It Takes Just As Much Free Will To Punish As To Do Wrong

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Thing that always cracks me up about anti-free will arguments is the contradictions. Too many of those arguments take this shape:…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Damned

Previous post. It's one way---or the other. ON THE QUALITY OF THE RISEN BODIES AMONG THE DAMNED 1 From these points one can, of course, reasonably consider what sort of…

Fun Statistics

Aella Girl’s Curious Spinning Circle Results: Why Do The Probabilities Match The Bets?

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, Gab. Something fun on a lazy day. I was asked to comment on this tweet: https://twitter.com/Aella_Girl/status/1594144435000213505 Before we get to it, and if…

Fun

Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. In what is now a tradition, we present for Thanksgiving the death prayer of Old Lodge Skins, which comes at the…

tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026
Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.
John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026
I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…
Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
"their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…
Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…
gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026
Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

William M. Briggs

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?