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What People Think Probability Words Mean
Posted inStatistics

What People Think Probability Words Mean

The graph above came from Github and was the result of a poll of folks on Reddit. "The raw data came from /r/samplesize responses to the following question: What [probability/number]…
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Posted inClass Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part XI

Review! We left off with comparing the standard, out-of-the-box linear regression with our multinomial predictive observable model. The great weaknesses of the regression were probability leakage (giving positive probability to…
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Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part X
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part X

Review! Last time we created four models of CGPA. Which is correct? They all are. Why? I should ask as a homework question, but I'll remind us here. Since all…
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Pew’s New Survey on Religious Groups Views on Abortion
Posted inCulture Statistics

Pew’s New Survey on Religious Groups Views on Abortion

Stream: Pew's New Survey on Religious Groups Views on Abortion According to a new survey by Pew Research, Unitarian Universalists are the strongest proponents of legal abortion, and Jehovah's Witnesses…
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Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part IX
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part IX

Review! Last time we successfully computed our model (8):     (8) Pr(CGPA = i | guesses of new measures, grading rules, old obs, model), where i = 0,...,5. The model…
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Another Proof of the Uselessness of P-values
Posted inStatistics

Another Proof of the Uselessness of P-values

Susan Holmes has done us a service by writing clearly the philosophy of the p-value in her new paper "Statistical Proof? The Problem of Irreproducibility" in the Bulletin of the…
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Pay More Taxes And Live Longer. Wee P-value Alert!
Posted inStatistics

Pay More Taxes And Live Longer. Wee P-value Alert!

It's bottom-of-the-barrel trolling to cite anything from Daily Kos, but this one is particularly asinine and worth showing to demonstrate the futility of p-values. Thanks to Al Perrella for the…
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Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VIII
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VIII

Review! We're continuing with the CGPA example. The data is on line, and of unknown origin, but good enough to use as an example. We will build a correlational model,…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 19, 2025

    "Damn, those white people are smart! --Duke Ellington, upon first seeing the Golden Gate Bridge

  2. shawn marshall on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 19, 2025

    Are there 700 million black africans? Has whitey screwed all of them?

  3. Uncle Mike on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 19, 2025

    Not to mention their reproductivity. Or lack of both. One might hope that they change their focus from physics to…

  4. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 19, 2025

    Thanks, my friend, appreciated. w.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 19, 2025

    I have not read the paper, and I doubt I ever will. Still, there is another aspect of this issue…

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