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$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?
July 23, 2026
Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp
July 22, 2026
Believing In God Makes You Crave Potato Chips, Say Academics
July 20, 2026
Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics
July 15, 2026
University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEing
July 13, 2026
The Equality Paradox
July 9, 2026
My Horrible Interaction With AI
July 8, 2026
SOON
July 7, 2026
The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
July 6, 2026
Happy Birthday to US
July 2, 2026
Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)
July 1, 2026
Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!
June 29, 2026
The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove
June 25, 2026
Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
Posted inStatistics

$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?

Posted by By Briggs July 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp

Posted by By Briggs July 22, 2026
Continue Reading
On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed
Posted inStatistics

On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed

Due to the length of yesterday's and today's post, there will be no post tomorrow. Video at bottom. There are two ways to review a book like Denis Noble's Dance…
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How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment
Posted inStatistics

How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment

Due to the length of tomorrow's and today's post, there will be no post Wednesday. Video at bottom. Word is out (I learned via, naturally, Steve Sailer) about a new…
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Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
Posted inStatistics

Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes

Thanks to whoever sent the Dice (there was no note or name attached). They work! Some are recognizing testing is flawed, but they seek refuge in "effect sizes", which is…
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Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You Racist
Posted inStatistics

Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You Racist

If you are here reading this, because some of you might not be here (if you follow me), be thankful you were not invited to Muzainy Shahiefisally's house for Thanksgiving.…
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I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)
Posted inStatistics

I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)

It's called "A Manifesto Against the Enemies of Modernity", co-authored with the aptly surnamed Helen Pluckrose. A fisking would produce an article sized to rival Gibbon, since Lindsay and Pluckrose…
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The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation
Posted inStatistics

The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation

If you're an academic, you might think the biggest mistake in science is failing to win the grant, and thus lose the power to calm the Savage Powers that demand…
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Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
Posted inStatistics

Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice

This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
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Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement
Posted inStatistics

Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement

Behold! The impenetrable mind of the academic at his work (with my trembling and humble emphasis and paragraphifications): Love (Drugs), Happiness, and Morality Various authors, including myself, have argued that…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  2. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

  3. Steve on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Add a few more priors and the odds skyrocket. 7/11 knew about the July 11 thing -- it says right…

  4. Tars Tarkas on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If you can, can you do the example of the Hooker Chemical Love Canal allegedly random cancer cluster in children?…

  5. Tim on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    I enjoyed this discussion. I am very interested in hearing you gentlemen continue discussing nitrogen.

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