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Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Decision Analysis Isn’t Straightforward

Vast subject, decision analysis, but we can get a grip on a corner of it if we consider the simplest of problems, the do-don't do, yes-no, gonna happen-ain't gonna happen,…
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Posted inStatistics

You Need To Beat More Than Just The Odds

Note: this is a sketch of a talk I gave yesterday at a conference filled with computer programmers, network and software engineers. This is Las Vegas, the land of magic.…
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Posted inStatistics

Two Common Statistical Fallacies

Here are two fun fallacies, excerpted from a paper I wrote a couple of years ago in the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. For more on this sort of…
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Posted inStatistics

Real Versus Statistical Control

The ideal experiment is one in which control is exerted over all aspects of an environment. We desire to measure an outcome; for ease suppose this is a simple number.…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Don’t Be Uncertain: Buy Uncertainty!

The Restoration has begun! Participate by buying Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Money spent wisely I do not say revolution, but Restoration. It is past time to…
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Posted inStatistics

A Simple (But Not Short) Stats Question

From reader JH: Thank you again for taking the time to write your blog. It is exceptionally thought-provoking. My job involves much of the six sigma "capability" studies and such.…
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Posted inStatistics

To Undergo Chemotherapy Or Not

Headline: "How I used math to conquer my cancer" by Michael Kaplan. Gist: fellow named Reitzen, 45, discovered he had kidney cancer. "The doctor came up to my house and…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Thoughts On One-Time Pads For Cell Phones

Best short description of one-time pads (OTPs) is from Jason Matthews, who is describing their use in the heyday of the cold war in the book Strangers on a Bridge…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 16, 2026

    It's sort of like covid, in that I don't worry as much about AI as I worry about AI hysteria…

  2. William Wallace on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 16, 2026

    Rep Thomas Massie once did a video on how if electric vehicles were widespread adopted across our transportation network, the…

  3. hudbwu on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 16, 2026

    Okay Sgt. Briggs, are you *trying* to get yourself into trouble every time there is a panic going about? xD…

  4. NLR on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 16, 2026

    It is true that these individuals are psyching themselves into panic. If "AI" systems are a cheat code for the…

  5. John Pate on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 13, 2026

    Supposedly AI is making everyone dumber. We can achieve equality via AI, there's nothing it can't do.

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