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William M. Briggs

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Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Posted by By Briggs April 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Proof!

Posted by By Briggs April 8, 2026
Continue Reading
Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years
Posted inStatistics

Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years

We've all seen those videos in which hersterical (there is no misspelling) chubby women rant at their cellphone cameras in cars. They begin their fantasies slowly, saying single phrases after…
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Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing Transanity
Posted inStatistics

Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing Transanity

RFK, Jr: "When I was a kid, we had shooting clubs at our school." "There's never been a time in America, in the history of humanity, where people walk into…
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Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee
Posted inStatistics

Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee

It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…
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The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. Schantz
Posted inStatistics

The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. Schantz

Dr. Hans G. Schantz, Principal Scientist at the Society for Post-Quantum Physics, is currently crowdfunding Fields & Energy Book I: Fundamentals & Origins of Electromagnetism, the first volume in a…
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World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!
Posted inStatistics

World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!

New Zealand! Where, at the end of the world, men are men, and the sheep are nervous. I don't mean end of the world, you understand, as in the bottom.…
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Deniers Refusing To Die From Climate Change Heat Waves
Posted inStatistics

Deniers Refusing To Die From Climate Change Heat Waves

The lurid headline! "Heatwave likely killed 263 people in London, study estimates". The "heatwave" was a small increase in daily temperatures experienced in the UK at the end of this…
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Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!
Posted inStatistics

Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!

We want Pr(H|Evidence), we get Pr(Data we didn't see | H false). And then everybody pretends they are the same. Why why why. Video https://youtu.be/WIZN3BesJps Links: YouTube * Twitter -…
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Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure
Posted inStatistics

Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure

In the Class, which I know all readers are dutifully following, bless you, I often cite Tyler Vigen's Spurious Correlations site. It is a glorious (growing) compendium of ridiculous results…
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  1. JH on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 10, 2026

    Would Trump attack China or Russia? Why not? Bullying is wrong. War is wrong. [H]is specialty is obfuscation… lol. And…

  2. JH on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 10, 2026

    Although I have not taught many Black students, I have observed that the most academically talented Black students perform at…

  3. JH on Proof!April 10, 2026

    Lincoln’s ”Fragments on Slavery” c. 1854 If A. can prove, however conclusively, that he may, of right, enslave B.—why may…

  4. Brendan P O'Sullivan on Class 85: Proper Scores of Model GoodnessApril 9, 2026

    Bill - An opportunity to help fellow Vets! Look at the following - regarding jet fuel exposure to vets -…

  5. Steve on Proof!April 9, 2026

    You don't need a publisher. It's just Godwin's Law in action. For whatever reason, that seals the deal for most…

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