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William M. Briggs

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Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Contest Winner Announced!

Posted by By Briggs April 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Posted by By Briggs April 13, 2026
Continue Reading
Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1
Posted inStatistics

Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1

A guy correctly "sees" 4 cards out of 52. A wee P hypothesis test says he has psychic powers. Does he? We only begin this difficult question today. Video https://youtu.be/_mgOCfEkIWQ…
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Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science
Posted inStatistics

Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science

What do you make of this headline? "Female pilots perform better under pressure, study finds". Story opens thusly: Female pilots may outperform their male counterparts in high-pressure flight situations, according…
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Academics Say It’s Morally Obligatory To Bioengineer Ticks To Stop You Eating Meat
Posted inStatistics

Academics Say It’s Morally Obligatory To Bioengineer Ticks To Stop You Eating Meat

A stupid man will make stupid mistakes. He will show up on TV being escorted into the back of a police cruiser. An intelligent man will make intelligent mistakes. He…
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New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest Bounty
Posted inStatistics

New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest Bounty

"Death is not simply a biological fact," tweeted Sandeep Jauhar, "but it's also a social choice." Death has become a social choice? He continues: "To increase the number of donor…
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Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The World
Posted inStatistics

Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The World

A lady says she has the ability to identify whether tea or milk is poured in a cup first. What does "have the ability mean?" and why is it so…
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The If I Were God Fallacy & Evolution
Posted inStatistics

The If I Were God Fallacy & Evolution

The If I Were God Fallacy runs like this: If I were God, here is how the world would work;The world does not work like that;Therefore, God does not exist.…
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Universities Need To Be Made To Lose Prestige
Posted inStatistics

Universities Need To Be Made To Lose Prestige

Incidentally, the header image is genuine and not AI. I still wonder why the right did not embrace the left's call to defund police. Think about no police. Think long…
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Only Credentialed Artists Can Appreciate This
Posted inStatistics

Only Credentialed Artists Can Appreciate This

This classic column originally ran on 1 July 2008 under a different title. The original typos, placed by relentless enemies, have been removed. I have also added a serious-minded video…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Contest Winner Announced!April 14, 2026

    Here, on the street where I live, about every tenth house or so flies a flag announcing what the occupant…

  2. Sid Porter on Contest Winner Announced!April 14, 2026

    Always thought this one was first… supercalafragalisticexbislidoucious

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    N is already taken and has been for centuries. But it would be hilarious if they added it to LGBT.

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    Two of Mx. Watt's sources are DEMONIC and ultra-woke One is Howard Zinn, the other is "Counterfire"; according to it's…

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    Now you've got me wondering about that, now defunct, live music club in New York; CBGB...And why exactly, was that…

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