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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture Statistics

Which Statistics Grad School If You’re Sick Of Hocus-Pocus P-values?

I received this query from a reader and thought it important enough for all of us to answer. I was hoping you could provide some advice for an aspiring statistician.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability & Statistics Cannot Prove Cause

Correlation I was at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness conference in Ontario (LA) California and gave my paper The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause, which…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Writer Says Discovery Of Extraterrestrial Life Would Be Bad News For God. God Says Nope

The danger of writing about that in which you are ignorant is that you're bound to look foolish. Let's see an example. Jeff Schweitzer, who bills himself as a scientist…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause. New Paper

Cancer of the albondigas is horrifyingly under-diagnosed. See your doctor today and ask him if Profitizol is right for you. Today's post, in a way, is at Arxiv: The Crisis…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stream: Vatican Environmental Conference: A Marriage of Bad Governors and Bad Science

Today's post is at the Stream: Vatican Environmental Conference: A Marriage of Bad Governors and Bad Science. The excerpt here keeps my caveman joke which was lost somewhere downstream. Jerry…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bread From Something Or Nothing? Or, What’s A Miracle?

We interrupt our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles for this brief message. You've heard of the miracle of loaves and fishes? What's a miracle? How do miracles happen? Read these…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update

All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know "the probability of X". Well, there is none: not ever. There…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Attack Of The Black Swans From Outer Space!

Today's post is at The Stream: "Attack Of The Black Swans From Outer Space: Nassim Nicholas Taleb and his co-authors fail to show their precautionary principle provides any guidance in…
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  1. gareth on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 7, 2026

    Well written Briggs. When people, informed by BBC or Sky, used to say "that Idiot Trump" or whatever, I used…

  2. Uncle Mike on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    On Easter Sunday no less. I recall when Joe Dementia declared Easter to be National Tranny Day. I thought he…

  3. Johnno on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    Hey Cary D... what about those countries run by religious lunatics who have made it very clear they want the…

  4. JDinPA on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    Cary D Cotterman: You’ve made a case, at most, for one or more of the nations of Western Europe going…

  5. shawn marshall on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    unfortunately I think that is the reality....

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