Statistics – Page 186 – William M. Briggs

Lancet Editor: Half Of Science Is Wrong. An Underestimate?

Half of science may be wrong? That may be an underestimate. But at least Richard Horton, the editor in chief of The Lancet, is in the right ballpark. Ballpark? That…

Statistics

Are Wars And Violence Decreasing? Taleb’s New Paper Reviewed

The vale of tears I've been asked by several people to comment on Pasquale Cirillo and Nassim Nicholas Taleb's paper (thankfully, not peer-reviewed, unless you count this) "On the tail…

Culture Statistics

The New Pew Religion Survey Isn’t What You Think (Probably)

Lot of chatter over the new Pew survey of religiosity, "Christians Decline Sharply as Share of Population; Unaffiliated and Other Faiths Continue to Grow". Main result: Christianity down, "nones" up.…

Culture Podcast Statistics

The Pontifical Academy’s Sustainablity Conference Podcast

CLICK HERE TO GET TO THE PODCAST Arrgh. I'm trying out a new podcasting plugin. It puts the podcasts into something-which-isn't-a-post and which is impossible to find. So here is…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

What Does “Sustainability” Really Mean?

I had originally titled today's article as "The Theology of Sustainability", which has a certain ring to it. But I admit the title chosen by the Crisis editors probably results…

Statistics

Hypothesis Testing Relies On The Fallacy Of False Dichotomy

Classical hypothesis testing is founded on the fallacy of the false dichotomy. The false dichotomy says of two hypotheses that if one hypothesis is false, the other must be true.…

Statistics

Will Climate Change Kill One-Sixth Of All Species?

Today's headline was prompted by Mark Urban's peer-reviewed paper in Science "Accelerating extinction risk from climate change", which assures us that if we don't "do something", this is the end…

Philosophy Statistics

Crisis: Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm (And Temperature Fiddling)

Today's post is at Crisis. The title the editor John Vella wrote is AUs---parsecs, even---above mine. His: "Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm". Mine? "The Church Burns To Jump Into…

John Pate on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 14, 2026
You haven't given any information the beast sizes of the women involved, this being an important factor (as demonstrated by…
JRob on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 14, 2026
Wow, Wow, Wow! Someone else used the exaggeration method! Years ago I tried to figure out the Monte Hall problem…
McChuck on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 13, 2026
There is a simpler, less math-intensive solution that gives the same answer. Knowing that it doesn't take two men to…
R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…
Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
I asked an AI, and it had the same answer as me but with silly Bayes equations. Then out of…