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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

BBC: Why Is There Something Rather Than Nothing? BBC: Because Something

Opens the BBC's campaign: Some physicists think they can explain why the universe first formed. If they are right, our entire cosmos may have sprung out of nothing at all.…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

An Introduction To Uncertainty: Probability, Statistics, and Modeling of All Kinds

This is a teaser, the first part of a 3,200-word narrative outline for the book that I've started to shop around. The current title is in the headline. Regular readers…
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Posted inStatistics

Sex With 21 (Not 20) Women Lowers Risk Of Prostate Cancer. It’s Science!

Today's headline was modified from the Telegraph, one of the least lurid and sensationalistic of those generated by the peer-reviewed paper "Sexual partners, sexually transmitted infections, and prostate cancer risk"…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?

When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com's Senate prediction, it said "Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority." There were also words that the "probability that each party will win control…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Update On Gun Crime: Downward Bound. Vote Accordingly

Elections are nearing and some of our friends are worried about guns. Measures are on ballots, votes are urged; that sort of thing. Nerves are raw, tempers are flared. Now…
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Posted inStatistics

Doc Asks Fellows To Keep Statistics Simple

Our friend Christos Argyropoulos (‏@ChristosArgyrop) to a popular medical site in which Stephen Reznick asks "Keep statistics simple for primary care doctors." He can't read the journals, because why? Because…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Mysticism Of Simulations: Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Sampling, And Their Alternatives

Introit Ever heard of somebody "simulating" normal "random" or "stochastic" variables, or perhaps "drawing" from a normal or some other distribution? Such things form the backbone of many statistical methods,…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Preponderance Of Evidence Criterion Is Absurd

Our beneficent government, through its Department of Education's Office of Civil Rights "sent a letter to colleges nationwide on April 4, 2011, mandating policy changes in the way schools handle…
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  1. spaceranger on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    Two things I can never figure out are UFO pictures and police body cam videos.

  2. Dave Narby on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    There's been some pretty clear ones lately, at least to the resolution of the camera used, e.g. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pcEEXLOORLI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6zkZ3x1T0QU This…

  3. James on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    The same logic applies to the phenomenon of "ball lightning". It sounds credible, but there are no photos of it…

  4. Uncle Mike on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayMay 21, 2026

    Please enjoy your well-earned respite. Warmth is indeed a boon and blessing -- it's in the eighties here today and…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    There are clear photographs of just about any phenomenon imaginable, regardless of how fast, distant, small, or ephemeral it may…

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