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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Marbles!

Posted by By Briggs June 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2026
Continue Reading
On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It
Posted inStatistics

On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It

I am not enough of a historian to say whether the Cult of the Victim forms in every dying civilization, but it sure has in ours. A Victim group is…
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Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II
Posted inStatistics

Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II

Hypothesis testing has told us what probably isn't true. It can't see all evidence. Here's how to do it right. Video https://youtu.be/5yoRSQMWle4 Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble…
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Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In Science
Posted inStatistics

Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In Science

I don't often discuss cheating in science, because the conclusion "It's bad, don't do it" doesn't need explication. Even those cheating are clever enough to swear to the conclusion's truth.…
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Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat
Posted inStatistics

Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat

My heart soared like a hawk by the hundreds of supportive comments I got on Twitter from last week's story about two academics who want government to genetically modify ticks…
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Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says Academic
Posted inStatistics

Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says Academic

The title today is identical to the peer-reviewed paper of the same name in Theory and Society by BVE Hyde. Hyde begins: "This study begins by outlining the transparency paradox:…
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Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1
Posted inStatistics

Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1

A guy correctly "sees" 4 cards out of 52. A wee P hypothesis test says he has psychic powers. Does he? We only begin this difficult question today. Video https://youtu.be/_mgOCfEkIWQ…
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Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science
Posted inStatistics

Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science

What do you make of this headline? "Female pilots perform better under pressure, study finds". Story opens thusly: Female pilots may outperform their male counterparts in high-pressure flight situations, according…
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Academics Say It’s Morally Obligatory To Bioengineer Ticks To Stop You Eating Meat
Posted inStatistics

Academics Say It’s Morally Obligatory To Bioengineer Ticks To Stop You Eating Meat

A stupid man will make stupid mistakes. He will show up on TV being escorted into the back of a police cruiser. An intelligent man will make intelligent mistakes. He…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Marbles!June 24, 2026

    For the past 48 hours, I've been considering a fundamental, structural, problem with marbles; " Marmorism". Some people will accumulate…

  2. John Pate on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Marbles was a thing in my primary school in Cambridge, England in the sixties. I don't recall girls ever playing…

  3. Jess on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Somewhere, I have my brother's bag of marbles. I sometimes think I should go through them to see if there…

  4. Cary D Cotterman on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    In the summer of 1960, in Fresno, California, I lost my promotional "KYNO Top-Dog Radio" boulder in a game of…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Briggs! Have you lost your marbles? (somebody had to say it) When I was a little kid, I was nuts…

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