William M. Briggs

Researchers Say Thoughts & Prayers Are Harmful, Confirmed With Wee P-Values

I don't know if Wall Street has a Science fund. If they do, short it. Why? Take this peer-reviewed paper by the two ladies Linda Thunstrom and Shiri Noy in…

Philosophy

The Moral Reason for Free Will — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

Do human persons have free will? I would say so. And I will expound on a fairly common yet powerful argument for the existence of free will, viz., that moral…

Statistics

Those-Who-Enjoy-Sodomy Attacked With Tanning Salons! Wee P-Values Confirm

To prove that we are indeed doomed, and that we haven't even come close to hitting the bottom of the bottomless Pit Of Progress, this Newsweek headline: TANNING SALONS COULD…

Culture

Draft Realist Catholic Climate Declaration: Please Share!

Here we are, friends. As promised, Draft 2 of the Realist Catholic Climate Declaration. Draft 1 is at the bottom, with a summary of critiques. The goal is to have…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Can Product Effects Without Proximate Causes

Previous post. Miracles are possible. This chapter is only an introduction. In two weeks, we get to the meat of miracles. THAT GOD CAN WORK APART FROM THE ORDER IMPLANTED…

Culture

The Week In Doom — Extreme Transphobia Edition

Item https://twitter.com/rachelvmckinnon/status/1178619997704327168 A man preferring a woman over a man pretending to a woman, and vice versa, is now "transphobic". This ramping up of insanity was expected, at least among…

Culture

ADL Lists 100%, Boots, Okay Sign, Bowl Cuts As “Hate” Symbols

The fund raising organization known as the Anti-Defamation League defamed basketball coaches the world over for their use of "100%", which is now an official "hate" symbol, and therefore "anti-Semitic".…

Culture

Good & Bad Bishops: The Lesson Of Dagger John — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Nobody understands anything anymore. That's not surprising. After all, we are sheep. And sheep are easily led. Even into the mouths of wolves. Who leads us there? Our shepherds, of…

Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
As you suggested, I have, so far, read nothing beyond the question. What is not clear to me is...Do the…
Zundfolge on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
I have to wonder if the colors were reversed if that would influence people's choice. Because the way the blue…
NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
Not sure why the dollar signs did not work and made everything italicized, but the sentence should say: If the…
McChuck on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
“Blue pushers are useless cattle. I’d feel no dread knowing they would all die.” Yes. The colors of the buttons…
NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
As you point out, the whole thing with these questions is in the initial setup. Whoever invented this one, deliberately…

William M. Briggs

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Researchers Say Thoughts & Prayers Are Harmful, Confirmed With Wee P-Values

The Moral Reason for Free Will — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

Those-Who-Enjoy-Sodomy Attacked With Tanning Salons! Wee P-Values Confirm

Draft Realist Catholic Climate Declaration: Please Share!

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Can Product Effects Without Proximate Causes

The Week In Doom — Extreme Transphobia Edition

ADL Lists 100%, Boots, Okay Sign, Bowl Cuts As “Hate” Symbols

Good & Bad Bishops: The Lesson Of Dagger John — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification